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  • Week One NFL: Questions Asked, Some Were Answered and Some Still Need Time

    Kansas City vs Houston The Question Prior to Week One Will the Chiefs suffer from a Super Bowl Hangover? Or will they come out and dominate the Texans? Vegas odds have the chiefs at -9.5 with a game total of 54. Expect some fireworks in this game. The Answer The Chiefs dominated vs. the Texans covering the spread and continuing where they left off from a season ago. Mahomes was an efficient 24/32 for only 211 yds and two TD's. The story of the game, rookie RB Clyde Edwards Helaire who rushed for 138 yds on 25 carries and a TD. The Chief's offense showed that it does not need to rely on explosive plays in the passing game and that it can also play a physical brand of football. It is safe to say that the Chiefs after one game are the leading contenders in the AFC. As for the Texans, they will have a lot to figure out going into week two where they will be facing the Baltimore Ravens. New England vs Miami The Question Prior to Week One Cam Newton's debut as a patriot. What will it look like? The Answer Cam Newton was Cam Newton again in his New England Patriots debut. Newton rushed for 75 yds and two TD's. Newton was physical and was having fun leading the new look Patriots offense. Newton adds the run game element that we discussed in the offseason and would prove to be the difference in their 21-11 win against the Dolphins. The Patriots appear to have a simple identity, they will play great defense, run the football, and control the clock. Newton didn't have to do much as a passer, but when he did throw it, he was efficient going 15-19 for 155 yds and 0 TD's. His longest completion went for 25 yds to TE Ryan Izzo. I expect to see the Patriots offense evolve as the season goes on. They have a solid baseline scheme to build off. The remaining questions, who will be their downfield passing threat? Can Cam Newton sustain the pounding he took for a full season in the run game? Time will tell, but so far so good in week one. Baltimore vs Cleveland The Question Prior to Week One Will Baltimore continue to use Lamar in the run game at the same rate as 2019? How will Cleveland's new offense look? The Answer The Ravens were very efficient on offense making very few mistakes. The Browns on the other hand were the opposite of the Ravens making a lot of drive stalling mistakes. Lamar carried the football 7 times for 45 yds and only ran it when needed. He threw the football an efficient 20-25 times, for 275 yds and 3 TD's. Hollywood Brown snagged 5 of Jacksons throws for 101 yds and was very crisp in his route running. TE Mark Andrews was phenomenal on the day grabbing five passes for 58 yds and 2 TD's. The Backfield combination of Mark Ingram, J.K. Dobbins, and Gus Edwards was split up as follows, Ingram started the game and had 21 snaps, Gus Edwards came into the game as the 2nd RB finishing with 15 snaps and Dobbins came into the game as 3rd RB tallying 23 snaps. The story here is that Dobbins played well enough in the first half to be the starter in the 2nd half. We are going to continue to follow this because it may only be a matter of a few weeks before J.K. Dobbins is the starter. I expect a backfield share similar from week to week and that the Ravens will continue to ride the hot hand. A lot to still be sorted out in the coming weeks. We are going to feature Cleveland in our next round of five questions so no need to dive into the dumpster fire today. New Orleans vs Tampa Bay The Question Prior to Week One How does the Tampa Bay offense look with Tom Brady? Who is the true number one WR, TE, and how good is the Tampa Bay defense when it has a QB that protects the football? The Answer (Still Need Answers) Where to begin. Tampa is clearly talented, but they couldn't get out of their own way in this game. You could see Brady's frustration throughout for various reasons whether it was a drive stalling penalty a WR drop or a bad route. Brady committed errors of his own in this game including a pick 6. Brady's other INT was a bad route by Evans. The Bucs offensive line looked overwhelmed at times and it will need to improve if Tampa has Super Bowl aspirations of any kind. The overall scope was sloppy as both teams committed a larger number of penalties (TB 9, NO 6), but it was the Bucs who appeared to consistently shoot themselves in the football in key situations. As for the Saints, they played well aside from the penalties, but not perfect. The Saints capitalized on the mental errors of the Bucs. You could tell the biggest difference between these two teams is continuity. The Saints have continuity vs the Bucs who are building their continuity. It will be interesting to see how both teams improve from week one to week two. Jacksonville vs Indianapolis The Question Prior to Week One How does the Indy offense look with Philip Rivers? Who is the number one RB for the Colts? The Answer (Still Need Answers) The Colts lost their starting RB Marlon Mack for the season to an Achilles injury and will now need to rely on Rookie RB Jonathon Taylor and the now veteran Nyheim Hines to carry the load. The COlts were expected to be one of the most improved teams coming into the season boasting one of the top Offensive lines in the NFL. The Colts did not meet expectations in week one falling to the Jaguars a team that many have pegged the worst team in the NFL. Rivers attempted 46 passes for 376 yds 1 TD and 2 INT's. The COlts finished this game with more questions than answers. We plan to re-evaluate their week one to week two improvement and then circle back next week to discuss. For daily analysis, please follow us on Instagram. We are also on Twitter, Linkedin, and YouTube. Football Scout 365 on Instagram Football Scout 365 on Twitter Football Scout 365 on LinkedIn Football Scout 365 on YouTube

  • 2020 Week One CFB Recap: Players Of The Week, High Impact Play Team of The Week

    Offensive and defensive players of the week, college football High Impact Play Team of the week. College Football Offensive Player of the Week QB Grant Wells's debut was impressive. Yes, it was against Eastern Kentucky, but in the year of COVID, we must accept every performance from week one for what they were, not very competitive. Wells answered many questions in his first game as Marshall's starter. He showed poise, pocket presence. He was on target early in the game completing 8-8 for 176 yds and 2 TD's in the 1st quarter alone. He made quick decisions when throwing never holding onto the football and was in full command of the offense. Marshall ramps up the competition vs APP State next week. The throwing windows may not be as wide vs the Mountaineers in week two. As for now, Wells looked impressive in his debut. College Football Defensive Player of the Week LB Isaiah Kaufusi had himself a night vs Navy compiling 5 tackles, 2 sacks, 2 TFL's, and forcing a fumble. The BYU defense as a whole defended the Navy triple option with great discipline. The assignment football played by the BYU defense helped them to dominate the Navy offense keeping them off schedule. High Impact Team of The Week BYU did to Navy what Navy does to its opponents on a regular basis. #BYU controlled the clock 37:20 to 22:40. The Cougars won the 1st down battle 28-7. They dominated in the run game 301-119. BYU won the 3rd/4th down stops battle 11-6 and held Navy out of the red zone the entire game. The Cougars averaged 8.2 yds per play to 3.2 yds per play. They kept Navy behind the chains with consistency. The BYU defense held the vaunted Navy triple-option offense to a 3rd down avg yds to go of 10.8 yds per attempt. Navy converted 0-6 on third downs of 9+ yds last night. In 2019, Navy ranked 2nd in rush attempts on 3rd downplays of 3 yds or less (67), converting 60%. The Cougars defense forced Navy out of their comfort zone. Navy committed an uncharacteristic number of penalties (6) last night. In 2019, Navy ranked 4th in penalties per game (4.2). For daily analysis, please follow us on Instagram. We are also on Twitter, Linkedin, and YouTube. Football Scout 365 on Instagram Football Scout 365 on Twitter Football Scout 365 on LinkedIn Football Scout 365 on YouTube

  • NFL Team Win Total Odds And Football Scout 365 Team Win Total Projections

    During the spring, we evaluated the NFL team win total odds. As we moved into the camp season without preseason football, we have had to rely on camp news and notes from the media. Some data is better than no data, but without the preseason football data point, it requires us to rely on word of mouth and previous season trends to make predictions. Below are the 2020 NFL win total odds and Football Scout 365 projected win totals, team strength of schedule rankings, conference championship, and Super Bowl projections. For daily analysis, please follow us on Instagram. We are also on Twitter, Linkedin, and YouTube. Football Scout 365 on Instagram Football Scout 365 on Twitter Football Scout 365 on LinkedIn Football Scout 365 on YouTube

  • Steel City Resurgence

    The 2020 Steelers WR group has the potential to be the best 59% Of Smith Schuster's Snaps In 2019 Came From The Slot Smith Schuster was a star on the rise in 2018 recording 111 catches on 166 targets for 1426 yds and 7 TD's in 16 games. In 2019 he recorded 42 catches on 70 targets for 552 yards and 3 TD's in 12 games. Schuster was dealing with lower-body injuries throughout 2019 and had to play with the 2nd and 3rd QB's after Big Ben was injured. With AB playing outside 72% of the time in 2018, Schuster played 56% of his snaps from the slot in 2018. In 2019 Schuster ran 59% of his snaps from the slot while manning the outside 41% of the time. We project his volume to be around 130 combined targets and rush att with 1005 yds receiving in 2020. 92% of Diontae Johnson's snaps were from the X, or Z in 2019 Diontae Johnson displayed a similar skillset to Antonio Brown as a rookie in 2019, compiling 59 catches on 92 targets for 680 yards and 5 TDs. He added four carries for 45 yards on the ground and 20 punt returns for 248 yards and 1 TD. Johnson showed a knack for converting third downs, where he snagged 25 grabs for 322 yards (12.9 yds per catch). Johnson can become the Steelers number one in his second season. Johnson has a high upside and can provide the same outside WR presence that Antonio Brown did in 2018, where Brown compiled 1200+ yds, and Smith-Schuster compiled 1400+ yds. At 6-4 230lbs, Claypool runs an explosive 4.42 forty Chase Claypool provides a physical presence at WR that the Steelers have not had in recent memory. Claypool's speed (4.42 Forty), and size are Megatronesque. Claypool was fantastic at Notre Dame in tight coverage, where he was able to use his frame to go up and get the football. He could also make in-air adjustments to position himself to make a play in tight coverage. Claypool is a good route runner and displayed an ability to play inside and out. Claypool could provide an additional outside threat opposite of Diontae Johnson in the Steelers offense providing explosive depth and allowing Juju Smith Schuster to play in the slot where he has played some of his best football. 75% of Washington's snaps came from the X or Z in 2019 James Washington is an explosive WR who led the steelers in yds per reception in 2019 (16.7). Washington compiled 44 catches on 80 targets for 735 yards and 3 TDs. Washington played in the slot on 25% of his snaps in 2019, showing some versatility. Washington collected 33 of his receptions for 518 yds in three WR sets. Washington will compete with Chase Claypool for the third WR spot. Washington will split snaps at one of the outside WR spots with both Claypool and Johnson in 2020. We project that the Steelers will mix a lot of 11 and 12 personnel groupings based on their current personnel. When in 11 personnel, we believe they will have Smith-Schuster in the slot at a higher rate with a combination of Claypool, Johnson, and Washington playing outside. For daily analysis, please follow us on Instagram. We are also on Twitter, Linkedin, and YouTube. Football Scout 365 on Instagram Football Scout 365 on Twitter Football Scout 365 on LinkedIn Football Scout 365 on YouTube

  • Teach Tapes: Elite Pass Rusher Technique (Speed Rush)

    This week we take a look at elite pass rusher technique. For daily analysis, please follow us on Instagram. We are also on Twitter, Linkedin, and YouTube. Football Scout 365 on Instagram Football Scout 365 on Twitter Football Scout 365 on LinkedIn Football Scout 365 on YouTube

  • Measuring The Impact Of High Impact Play Rate Differential In The NFL

    WHAT IS HIGH IMPACT PLAY RATE (HIP RATE)? High Impact Play Rate accounts for big in-game moments such as sacks, turnovers, TFL's, and explosive plays. Our High Impact Play Rate analysis works as a diagnostic tool created to help identify the critical areas of focus when performing an every play film review. MEASURING THE INFLUENCE OF A HIGH IMPACT PLAY (HIP RATE) Within every football game, there are critical moments that factor into whether a team wins' or loses the game. Coaches and analysts point to these factors during their post-game analysis. High Impact Plays provide momentum, so we created a way to measure the rate of High Impact Play (HIP Rate) Rate occurrence. APPLYING HIGH IMPACT PLAY RATE (HIP RATE) Our High Impact Play Rate analysis works as a diagnostic tool created to help identify the critical areas of focus when performing an every play film review. HIP Rate is the starting point of every analysis that we perform.  THE VALUE OF HIGH IMPACT PLAYS We are actively studying the value of High Impact plays and their effect on team winning percentages. The study will be in its third year of research, where it seeks to identify the correlation between each variable. Our study has concluded that even when one or two variables may appear related within the door remains open for the potential of a second or third variable. Every play analysis allows us to surgically identify the potential second or third factor within a momentum-changing scenario. HIGH IMPACT PLAY RATE DIFFERENTIAL STUDY Our current High Impact Play Rate study uses the differential of each metric against itself; for example, sacks for vs. sacks allowed. We then take the differential between the two variables and connect it to the average team win percentage. For example, Team A has 22 total sacks for vs. 19 sacks allowed on the year (+3). We then examine the winning percentage of team A (62%). We can conclude that team A's (+3) sack differential could be directly impacting their 62% win rate. THE CORE FIVE MEASURABLES Third Down Stop Differential Explosive Play Differential Sack Differential Interception Differential Fumble Differential We examined the NFL High Impact Play Rate differential averages for the top third, middle third, and bottom third of the league as a whole in each of the core five categories. The objective is to identify the correlation between each differential and its connection between team win percentages among teams in the top third, middle third, and bottom third of the NFL. As discussed earlier, the High Impact Play Rate differential does show a correlation between winning and losing football games. We have concluded that High Impact Play Rate works well as a diagnostic analysis that often requires a more in-depth evaluation of the facts. USING EVERY PLAY ANALYSIS TO IDENTIFY 2ND AND 3RD VARIABLES HIDDEN WITHIN THE FILM High Impact Play Rate is the first part of a three-prong analysis system that Football Scout 365 can perform when evaluating team performance. The High Impact Play Rate, when paired with our more in-depth every play situational analysis, allows us to match the High Impact Play Rate variables with additional variables found deep within our every play situational analysis. WHAT IS EVERY PLAY SITUATIONAL ANALYSIS? We created a customizable (to fit your needs) every play evaluation process made for coaches that analyzes every situation, from down & distance, field position, offensive and defensive personnel groupings, play type, and play area. The custom analysis process can use 70 different metrics, more or less, based on your needs. THE CORE FIVE VARIABLES IN ORDER OF IMPORTANCE BASES ON RATE OF OCCURRENCE Third-Down Stop Differential Highest Rate Of Occurrence (12.24%) Third down stops rank at the top of the five core High Impact Play Rate categories. Offenses want to sustain drives just as much as defenses wish to get off of the field. The data concluded that 3rd down stops carry the highest weight of the top five evaluated High Impact Play measures. Teams in the top third of 3rd down differential, meaning that their offense sustained drives at a high rate, and their defense got off of the field at a high rate averaged 9.93 wins per season since 2018 (62%). Explosive Play Differential Rate Of Occurrence (6.26%) The second-highest rate of occurrence among the five measures is explosive play differential. Teams in the top third of explosive play differential win an average of 9.35 games (58.46%). Sack Differential Rate Of Occurrence (3.96% The third-highest rate of occurrence among the five measures is sack differential. Teams in the top third of sack differential win an average of 10.15 games (63.46%). INT Differential Rate Of Occurrence (1.28%) The fourth-highest rate of occurrence among the five measures is INT differential. Teams in the top third of INT differential win an average of 10.55 games (65.96%). Fumble Differential Rate Of Occurrence (0.74%) The fifth-highest rate of occurrences among the five measures is fumble differential. Teams in the top third of fumble differential win an average of 10.55 games (65.96%). High Impact Play Rate After we combine all five of the above variables, we can calculate the total High Impact Play Rate. Teams in the top third of the High Impact Play Rate analysis win 10.45 games per year (65.33%). All four teams who participated in the last two Super Bowls ranked in the top third of the High Impact Play Rate. 70% of teams in the top third since 2018 made the playoffs, 60% won their division, 20% made it to the Super Bowl, and 10% have won the Super Bowl. 33.3% of NFL teams made the playoffs if ranked in the middle third of the High Impact Play Rate measure, while 16.7% have won their division. Teams who rank in the bottom third do not make the playoffs or win their division since 2018. The Ongoing Study The 2020 NFL season will provide another year of data for us to evaluate. During the 2020 season, we will use the High Impact Play Rate analysis to examine in-season NFL team performance. Each week we will provide a report on the High Impact Play Rate team of the week. We plan to continuously study High Impact Play Rate, making changes when needed, and adding additional data points if we conclude the need for more data. As of August 2020, our study has found that the High Impact Play Rate differential directly correlates with team winning percentage and scoring differential. Applying High Impact Play Rate At Different Levels Of Football High Impact Play Rate provides coaches and team analysts with one level of analysis. It is not the defining factor we use to determine performance. Analytics play a small role but can serve as a guide when trying to quickly pinpoint areas of success, or concern before performing an every play film review with your football team. Football Scout 365 aspires to become a provider of customizable scouting and analytics tools and processes built to fit all levels of football. Our Three-Prong Approach Every analysis begins with the High Impact Play Rate analysis that serves as a diagnostic overview. Once Football Scout 365 Analysts pinpoint the critical area of focus using HIP Rate analysis, we dive deeper to perform every play situational analysis using 70+ different metrics to examine every player and every play. Once the situational every play analysis is complete, we bring the data to life by creating a visual presentation for coaches to use during film review with their team. For daily analysis, please follow us on Instagram. We are also on Twitter, Linkedin, and YouTube. Football Scout 365 on Instagram Football Scout 365 on Twitter Football Scout 365 on LinkedIn Football Scout 365 on YouTube

  • NFL Quick Study: We Go In The Trenches To Review The 2019 Dallas Cowboys Offensive Line

    The 2020 Dallas Cowboys Offensive line ranks 5th in the NFL according to our preseason Football Scout 365 NFL offensive line rankings. Reviewing the 2019 Dallas Cowboys Offensive Line In 2019, The Cowboys ran the football to the left or right edge (C, or D Gap) a combined 233 times averaging 5.4 yds per attempt. When running to the edge left (Tyron Smith) the cowboys averaged 5.4 yds per attempt, when running to the edge right (La'el Collins) the Cowboys averaged 5.3 yds per attempt. Zeke Elliott Can Claim A Permanent Residence Status Between The Tackles Zeke loves to run inside the A Gaps. In 2019, 22% of Zekes 300+ rush attempts occurred to the center's right or left hip. Zeke averaged 4.4 yds per rush attempt between the A Gaps. What Do They Mean When They Refer To The Gaps On The Offensive Line? Depending on the run-type or block scheme, plays like power or zone are better suited to be run at a specific look. Your coach will say, run a Power Right to the (1) technique (A-Gap), the players will understand the direction of the play call. For daily analysis, please follow us on Instagram. We are also on Twitter, Linkedin, and YouTube. Football Scout 365 on Instagram Football Scout 365 on Twitter Football Scout 365 on LinkedIn Football Scout 365 on YouTube

  • After Further Review: Comparing Baker Mayfield's 2018 and 2019 Seasons, And The Stefanski Effect

    Mayfield's RPO Efficiency Remains a Strength 7.8 yds per RPO run/pass Att. 2nd only to Kyle Allen among QB's with at least 50 RPO Pass Att. Mayfield Struggled with longer developing plays (5-7 step drops) In 2019, Mayfield struggled with accuracy on 5-7 step drops, completing 51.5% of his throws ranking 31st in the NFL. According to PFF, in 2018, Mayfield completed better than 63% and was in the top 5. Mayfield Struggled with longer developing plays (5-7 step drops) Mayfield threw 21 Int's in 2019 compared to 14 in 2018. Both are bad. Only Winston was worse in 2019. Baker did admit that he forced throws to Beckham and Landry. Mayfield ranked 4th in the NFL in dropped passed by his intended receivers with 30.  Play Calling/Scheme In 2019, Baker faced 3rd and long plays consistently where the Browns ranked 24th in average 3rd down yds to go (7.8). Mayfield faced more pressure due to having a higher rate of obvious passing situations. Third and long plays also eliminated the effective nature of the RPO. Mayfield has been scheme dependent so far in his young career and will need to develop in key areas starting with improving his ability to call out protections pre-snap to help his offensive line. With Stefanski as the new head coach, the expectation is that the Browns will emphasize running the football, which can help set up play-action and place Mayfield in more manageable throwing situations on 2nd and 3rd down. Under Freddie Kitchens, the Browns found themselves behind the chains on 2nd and 3rd down consistently in 2019, forcing the need to run longer developing pass plays (5-7 step drops, or shotgun plays of equivalent depth) that would allow pressure to get home forcing Mayfield off of his spot. The Stefanski Effect In Cleveland Play Action Pass Game Minnesota QB Kirk Cousins ranked 8th in the NFL in total play-action pass rate while also averaging 9.5 yds per pass attempt (10th). RPO's Under Stefanski, Cousins attempted only one RPO in 2019 Sacks/Pressure/Blitz Rate In 2019, Kirk Cousins faced a blitz on 24% of his pass attempts (4th among QB's with at least ten starts). Cousins was sacked 28 times with a sack rate of 6.31% (9th among QB's with 10+ starts). Cousins was under pressure on 10.81% of his total pass attempts (18th). Even when under pressure, Cousins avoided the big mistake throwing only 6 INT's and compiling a QB Rating of 99.7. He also ranked 8th in the NFL in throws under pressure completing 41%. Play Calling/Scheme The Browns have a lot of tools that Stefanski can deploy in year one. We expect that the Browns will run a heavy dose of 12 personnel with both Njoku and Hooper bookending the offensive front. Stefanski also has one of the top young premiere RB's in Nick Chubb and another one to back him up in Kareem Hunt. In Minnesota, Stefanski was run heavy on 1st downplays ranking near the top of the NFL, running 57% of the time. The Vikings averaged 5.5 yds per play (run or pass combined). 2nd down is where the Vikings imposed their will in the run game running it 51% of the time (3rd highest), averaging six yds per play (6th highest) (run or pass combined). The Vikings ran the football 476 times in 2019 (4th most). On third down, the Vikings capitalized by converting a first down on 31.54% of their plays (11th best). The Vikings were in the top 3rd of the league in average yds per play on 3rd down attempts. For daily analysis, please follow us on Instagram. We are also on Twitter, Linkedin, and YouTube. Football Scout 365 on Instagram Football Scout 365 on Twitter Football Scout 365 on LinkedIn Football Scout 365 on YouTube

  • After Further Review: 2019 Review of Ryan Tannehill

    Titans Became More Balanced With Tannehill In the 12 games post-Marcus Mariota, Tannehill was fantastic, completing 70% of his throws for 2742 yds and a 22/6 TD/INT ratio. The Titan's offense became more balanced after the change from Mariota to Tannehill. From week one to six, the Titans averaged 291 total yds, 103 yds rushing and 187 yds passing. The final 12 games, including the playoffs, the Titans averaged 379 yds per game with 162 yds on the ground vs. 217 yds through the air. The Titans offense increased total yardage production by 30%. Play Action Pass A large part of the increase involved the offensive balance and the use of the play-action pass. The Titans increased their play-action yds per attempt from 9.65 under Mariota the first six weeks, to 13.04 yds per attempt the next 12 games with Tannehill. It Helps to Have Derrick Henry Derrick Henry faced an eight-man box on 35% of his snaps in 2019, a number that opened up play-action passing opportunities. Henry posted 1504 yds, and 16 TD's in 2019. The Titan's success hinges Derrick Henry's ability to run the football, and the offensive line is continuing to improve. The Titans offensive line ranks 8th best entering the 2020 NFL season and is on the rise. For daily analysis, please follow us on Instagram. We are also on Twitter, Linkedin, and YouTube. Football Scout 365 on Instagram Football Scout 365 on Twitter Football Scout 365 on LinkedIn Football Scout 365 on YouTube

  • In The Trenches: 2019 Baltimore Ravens Offensive Line Review

    In 2019, the Ravens OL was dominant inside and out. On runs between the guards, the Ravens averaged 5.33 yds per run. On runs to the left and right tackles, or TE's, inside, or outside shade, the Ravens averaged 6.75 yds per rush attempt. 3rd Ranked OL According to Our Preseason Positional Analysis The Effect of Zone Read The inside-outside run game success directly coincides with the defenses focus on containing Lamar Jackson's ability to get to the edge on a zone read, or designed runs. Defenses will attempt to contain the outside, opening gaps on the inside. Lamar Jackson Outside Running 46% of Lamar Jackson's Rush Attempts, occurred from LG to the outside of the LT in 2019 averaging 9.33 Yds per Att. Mark Ingrams Inside Running 52% of Mark Ingram's Rush Attempts, occurred between the center's left shade, and the RG outside shade in 2019 averaging 4.05 Yds Per Attempt. For daily analysis, please follow us on Instagram. We are also on Twitter, Linkedin, and YouTube. Football Scout 365 on Instagram Football Scout 365 on Twitter Football Scout 365 on LinkedIn Football Scout 365 on YouTube

  • Joe Brady's Instant Impact at LSU, and Why Carolina Fans Should Be Excited

    2018 LSU Pass Offense The 2018 LSU pass offense amassed a respectable 2970 yds (63rd), completing 59.7% (85th), with an overall team passer rating of 134.26. 2018 Explosive Passing Plays The Tigers produced explosive plays in their pass game of 15 yds or more on 68 of their 387 pass attempts in 2018 (60th). They hit explosive plays of 25 yds or longer 26 times (72nd). 2018 3rd Down Passing LSU converted 34 first downs on 98 pass attempts with a completion rate of 52%, and a team passer rating of 103.93. The Tigers ranked 79th in total third-down pass conversions in 2018. 2018 Red Zone Passing In the red zone, LSU ranked last nationally in QB rating (84.57). The Tigers only scored six pass TD's (108th). LSU was not a bad offense in 2018, but they needed to modernize and invigorate the offense in several areas, especially the red zone and on third down. Joe Brady The innovative coach of choice for coach Ed O would be the 29-year-old Joe Brady. Brady wouldn't have to travel far from New Orleans to Baton Rouge. Brady was an offensive assistant for the New Orleans Saints and worked under Sean Payton, who is known as one to the top offensive innovators in the NFL. Joe Brady's Prior Experience Brady started his career at William & Mary coaching Linebackers in 2013. He then moved on to Penn State as a Graduate Assistant in 2015. In 2017, he would take an offensive assistant post with the New Orleans Saints. In 2019, Brady became the LSU Pass Game Coordinator, and right after the Tigers National Championship win, Brady took the open Offensive Coordinator position offered to him by new Head Coach Matt Rhule with the Carolina Panthers. Brady Has risen through the ranks quickly and is now the youngest Offensive Coordinator in the NFL. The Joe Brady Coaching Style and Philosophy Like Sean Payton, Brady appears to have an ability to adapt to personnel. He said as much while speaking at his Panthers introductory press conference. Brady mentioned the importance of adapting to your personnel. What does this mean? It means that you have to be multiple in your scheme, and creative based on your personnel. Your Personnel changes often in the NFL, and Joe Brady's adaptation philosophy is one that can succeed in the NFL. The 2019 Record-Breaking LSU Tiger Offensive Ascension Not all credit goes to Brady, who split his duties with another Coordinator Steve Ensminger who was the LSU offensive coordinator in 2018. The Ensminger, Brady pairing allowed for a more seasoned coaching vet to gain insights and knowledge from a brilliant up and coming coach. Innovating the LSU pass offense was the sole intention of hiring Joe Brady hence his title (Pass Game Coordinator). The Effect of Joe Brady by The Numbers In 2019 The 2018 LSU offense as a whole averaged 402 yds per game and ranked 69th in the nation. In 2019, the LSU pass offense averaged 401.6 yds per game. Again, LSU averaged 401.6 yds PASSING in 2019 vs. their entire offensive per game average of 402 yds per game the year prior. This one stat by itself is enough evidence, but the deeper you look into the passing offense, you can gain insights into the how and why behind the rise of the 2019 LSU offense. 2019 LSU Pass Offense by The Numbers The Tigers Pass offense averaged 401.6 yds per game (2nd) and threw the football on 52% of their total plays averaging 10.62 yds per attempt (5th). The Tigers converted 1st downs on 43% of their total pass plays (3rd). They completed 75% of their passes and had an overall team passer rate of 197.4 (2nd). 2019 Explosive Passing Plays The Tigers pass offense hit on plays of 15 yards or longer 9.4 times per game (1st). On explosive plays 25 yards or longer, the Tigers hit on 60 of their 567 pass attempts (1st). 2019 3rd Down Passing LSU converted 43 first downs on third-down passing attempts (35th). Compare this to the 2018 rank of 79th, and it is a drastic difference based on ranking, but the Tigers only converted nine more 1st downs in the passing game in 2019. 2018 vs 2019 Red Zone Passing LSU's offense took a significant jump in red-zone production from 2018. In 2018 the Tigers had a total passer rate of 134.26, completion rate of 59.7%, and scored only six passing TD's. In 2019, the Tiger offense improved its passer rating to 261.9 (2nd), completion rate 71.3 (2nd), and TD's 34 (2nd). They also didn't turn it over through the air in the red area. First Down Passing The stat that sticks out the most when analyzing the 2019 LSU offense is their 1st down pass efficiency. Let's begin by comparing the change in total offensive run-pass ratio. In 2018 the Tigers threw the football on 40.7% of their total offensive plays. Compare this to the 52% to 48% pass to run ratio in 2019. On first down plays in 2018, the LSU's pass to run ratio 38% pass to 62% run. The 2019 addition on first down, 54% passing to 46% running the football. The aggressive change in philosophy helped open up the offense by keeping defenses on their heels with off-schedule play calls. The Tigers averaged 244 of their 402 yards passing per game on first down throws. LSU's passer rating on first down throws of 216.05 ranked 3rd in the nation. The Tigers attempted 293 first down throws, which also ranked 3rd in the land. The area that benefited the most were on plays of 15 yards or more. The Tigers hit 89 plays of 15 yards or longer 89 times on first down throws, 45 times they hit on plays of 25 yards or more. For daily analysis, please follow us on Instagram. We are also on Twitter, Linkedin, and YouTube. Football Scout 365 on Instagram Football Scout 365 on Twitter Football Scout 365 on LinkedIn Football Scout 365 on YouTube

  • Examining The Versatility Of The NFL's Top Two Personnel Groupings

    The Versatility of Personnel Groupings In Football 11 and 12 personnel are versatile in today's football because of the versatility and athleticism of today's RB's and TE's. NFL Teams with a TE like Travis Kelce, or Rob Gronkowski can line up with the TE in line, in the slot, or flexed wide without ever changing their personnel. The same can be said about NFL RB's like CMC, Alvin Kamara, or Saquan Barkley, who are versatile enough to play in the backfield, slot, or flexed out wide, allowing coaches to keep the same personnel on the field regardless of the situation.

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