College Football Playoff Probabilities & Win Projections Ahead of Week 7

See the latest rankings based on playoff odds, strength of schedule, and our manual win projections for the top 12 teams this season.

The rankings for Week 7 are based on the implied playoff odds provided by BetOnline AG and strength of schedule data sourced from ESPN’s Football Power Index (FPI). The win totals are projected using our own algorithm, taking into account each team's strength of schedule, remaining matchups, roster talent, coaching effectiveness, and past performances. These projections highlight the most winnable and challenging games for each team as they navigate their schedules. Below are the top 12 teams, their rankings, and the key metrics influencing their playoff odds.

College Football Playoff Rankings and Win Projections: Week 7 Update

1). Ohio State Buckeyes (5-0, Next Matchup: vs Oregon Ducks)

• Implied Playoff Odds: 95.2%

• Strength of schedule (SOS): 111

• Remaining SOS: 17

• Offense Rank: 3

• Defense Rank: 5

• Win Total Prediction: 12 games

  
  

2). Texas Longhorns (5-0, Next Matchup: vs Oklahoma Sooners)

• Implied Playoff Odds: 92.3%

• Strength of schedule (SOS): 104

• Remaining SOS: 9

• Offense Rank: 9

• Defense Rank: 2

• Win Total Prediction: 12 games

  
  

3). Oregon Ducks (5-0, Next Matchup: vs Ohio State Buckeyes)

• Implied Playoff Odds: 88.9%

• Strength of schedule (SOS): 95

• Remaining SOS: 25

• Offense Rank: 20

• Defense Rank: 24

• Win Total Prediction: 11 games

  
  

4). Alabama Crimson Tide (4-1, Next Matchup: vs Tennessee Volunteers)

• Implied Playoff Odds: 83.3%

• Strength of schedule (SOS): 25

• Remaining SOS: 15

• Offense Rank: 12

• Defense Rank: 13

• Win Total Prediction: 10 games

  
  

5). Georgia Bulldogs (4-1, Next Matchup: vs Kentucky Wildcats)

• Implied Playoff Odds: 83.3%

• Strength of schedule (SOS): 3

• Remaining SOS: 3

• Offense Rank: 13

• Defense Rank: 21

• Win Total Prediction: 10 games

  
  

6). Miami Hurricanes (6-0, Next Matchup: vs Clemson Tigers)

• Implied Playoff Odds: 72.2%

• Strength of schedule (SOS): 64

• Remaining SOS: 51

• Offense Rank: 7

• Defense Rank: 51

• Win Total Prediction: 11 games

  
  

7). Penn State Nittany Lions (5-0, Next Matchup: vs USC Trojans)

• Implied Playoff Odds: 71.4%

• Strength of schedule (SOS): 96

• Remaining SOS: 16

• Offense Rank: 18

• Defense Rank: 17

• Win Total Prediction: 10 games

  
  

8). Ole Miss Rebels (5-1, Next Matchup: vs LSU Tigers)

• Implied Playoff Odds: 58.3%

• Strength of schedule (SOS): 81

• Remaining SOS: 21

• Offense Rank: 11

• Defense Rank: 6

• Win Total Prediction: 10 games

  
  

9). Notre Dame Fighting Irish (4-1, Next Matchup: vs USC Trojans)

• Implied Playoff Odds: 55.6%

• Strength of schedule (SOS): 42

• Remaining SOS: 55

• Offense Rank: 46

• Defense Rank: 3

• Win Total Prediction: 10 games

  
  

10). Clemson Tigers (4-1, Next Matchup: vs Miami Hurricanes)

• Implied Playoff Odds: 54.6%

• Strength of schedule (SOS): 31

• Remaining SOS: 49

• Offense Rank: 5

• Defense Rank: 14

• Win Total Prediction: 10 games

  
  

11). Tennessee Volunteers (4-1, Next Matchup: vs Alabama Crimson Tide)

• Implied Playoff Odds: 47.6%

• Strength of schedule (SOS): 50

• Remaining SOS: 13

• Offense Rank: 22

• Defense Rank: 1

• Win Total Prediction: 9 games

  
  

12). Texas A&M Aggies (4-1, Next Matchup: vs Missouri Tigers)

• Implied Playoff Odds: 41.7%

• Strength of schedule (SOS): 27

• Remaining SOS: 22

• Offense Rank: 31

• Defense Rank: 10

• Win Total Prediction: 10 games