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The inaugural 12-team CFP sparks debate as Alabama is left out, Oregon faces a tough path, and Penn State gets the easiest route on paper.
The inaugural 12-team College Football Playoff (CFP) is here, but not without controversy. Alabama's exclusion in favor of SMU has ignited debates about scheduling strategies, while Oregon’s No. 1 seed faces a surprisingly tough path. Meanwhile, Penn State appears to have drawn the easiest route, raising questions about seeding fairness. As the CFP era begins, discussions around conference titles, automatic bids, and future expansions are heating up.
Top Seed Oregon Draws The Most Difficult Path
Another hot topic is Oregon’s placement as the No. 1 seed. Despite their top ranking, Oregon appears to have drawn the most challenging path, potentially facing the winner of the Ohio State-Tennessee matchup. Logically, many projections had the top seed playing the winner of the 5-12 matchup in the first round, but instead, they will face the 8-9 seeds, which, on paper and based on the eye test, are far better teams than they have seeded in the 5-12 slots.
Penn State Draws The Easiest Path On Paper
Additionally, Penn State’s path as the No. 6 seed has raised eyebrows. On paper, they seem to have the easiest route, starting with an 11-seed SMU matchup and potentially facing Boise State next. This has fueled further debate about seeding fairness in this new playoff format.
Future Playoff Expansion
Lastly, discussions about playoff expansion are heating up, with some speculating it could happen as early as 2026. Critics are questioning the relevance of conference titles, suggesting they might be removed entirely or that automatic bids and first-round byes for conference champions should be reconsidered.
Teams with First-Round Byes
No. 1 Seed – Oregon (Big Ten Champion)
In their inaugural Big Ten season, the Oregon Ducks achieved a flawless 13-0 record, solidifying their position as the nation's top team. Their season featured significant victories over Ohio State and Illinois, culminating in a 45-37 triumph against Penn State in the Big Ten Championship Game. This victory was propelled by quarterback Dillon Gabriel, who threw for 283 yards and four touchdowns, and a strong ground attack led by Jordan James and Noah Whittington.
Under head coach Dan Lanning, Oregon's offense has been dynamic, while the defense has consistently disrupted opponents, exemplified by forcing two critical interceptions against Penn State. As the only undefeated team in the FBS, the Ducks have earned the No. 1 seed and will face the winner of the Ohio State vs. Tennessee matchup in the Rose Bowl. This game will test Oregon's balanced and explosive play against formidable competition.
No. 2 Seed – Georgia (SEC Champion)
Despite losing quarterback Carson Beck to injury just before halftime, Georgia claimed the SEC title with a dramatic 31-24 overtime victory against Texas. Backup quarterback Gunner Stockton stepped in and managed the game effectively while running back Trevor Etienne sealed the victory with a game-winning touchdown in overtime. The Bulldogs’ defense also played a critical role, holding Texas to just three points in the second half of regulation to force overtime.
Under head coach Kirby Smart, Georgia showcased the resilience and team depth that has made them a perennial championship contender. The Bulldogs now look to continue their journey to a national championship as the No. 2 seed. They will face the winner of the Notre Dame vs. Indiana first-round matchup in the Sugar Bowl, where Georgia’s stout defense and versatile offense will look to advance further in the CFP.
No. 3 Seed – Boise State (Mountain West Champion)
Boise State's ascent to the No. 3 seed in the College Football Playoff marks a significant milestone in the program's history. The Broncos clinched the Mountain West Championship with a commanding 21-7 victory over UNLV. Running back Ashton Jeanty was instrumental, rushing for 209 yards and a touchdown, further solidifying his status as a Heisman Trophy contender.
The Broncos concluded the season with a 12-1 record, their sole defeat being a narrow loss to Oregon, underscoring their competitiveness against top-tier teams. Defensively, Boise State has been solid, allowing an average of 22.6 points per game. This balanced performance on both offense and defense has been pivotal in securing their first-round bye.
Looking ahead, Boise State is set to compete in the Fiesta Bowl against the winner of the Penn State vs. SMU matchup. Their potent running game, spearheaded by Jeanty, combined with a resilient defense, positions them as a formidable contender in their inaugural College Football Playoff appearance.
No. 4 Seed – Arizona State (Big 12 Champion)
Arizona State's remarkable season under head coach Kenny Dillingham culminated in a decisive 45-19 victory over Iowa State in the Big 12 Championship. Quarterback Sam Leavitt, a redshirt freshman, orchestrated the offense with precision, amassing 219 passing yards and three touchdowns. Leavitt's outstanding performance throughout the season earned him the Big 12 Offensive Freshman of the Year award.
Complementing Leavitt's aerial assault, running back Cam Skattebo powered the ground game, contributing significantly to the Sun Devils' offensive balance. Skattebo's versatility was on full display, as he accounted for three touchdowns—two rushing and one receiving—in the championship game. Defensively, Arizona State has been formidable, allowing an average of 21.3 points per game, showcasing their ability to stifle opponents and create scoring opportunities for their offense.
The Sun Devils' impressive 11-2 record and Big 12 title have secured them a first-round bye in the College Football Playoff. They are set to face the winner of the Texas vs. Clemson matchup in the Peach Bowl. With a potent offense led by Leavitt and a resilient defense, Arizona State is poised to make a significant impact in its inaugural CFP appearance.
First-Round Matchups
No. 12 Clemson (ACC Champion) at No. 5 Texas
Texas, the SEC runner-up, will host ACC champion Clemson in a highly anticipated first-round matchup. Despite their 31-24 overtime loss to Georgia in the SEC Championship, the Longhorns' dynamic offense, led by Quinn Ewers, remains a formidable threat. Clemson, under Dabo Swinney, enters the game with momentum following a last-second field goal victory in the ACC title game.
No. 9 Tennessee at No. 8 Ohio State
Tennessee’s balanced offense travels to Columbus to face an Ohio State squad eager to bounce back from their regular-season finale loss to Michigan. Both teams hold 10-2 records, and this matchup could hinge on the performance of Ohio State’s defense against Tennessee’s high-powered attack.
No. 11 SMU at No. 6 Penn State
SMU’s inclusion in the playoff as the No. 11 seed has been one of the most debated decisions, but their offensive prowess has earned them a shot at the Nittany Lions. Penn State, fresh off a narrow 45-37 loss to Oregon in the Big Ten Championship, boasts a stout defense and a balanced offense that will test SMU’s capabilities. Happy Valley is set to host a fierce battle for the right to advance to the quarterfinals.
No. 10 Indiana at No. 7 Notre Dame
Indiana’s Cinderella season continues with a trip to South Bend to face Notre Dame. Under first-year head coach Curt Cignetti, the Hoosiers turned a 3-9 record in 2023 into an impressive 11-1 campaign. Meanwhile, Notre Dame, riding a 10-game win streak, enters with confidence as they seek their first national title since 1988.