2025 NFL Draft: Consensus Mock Based on 12 Expert Mocks & Advanced Team Fit Projections
- Brandon Lundberg
- 1 day ago
- 10 min read
See the most likely picks for every NFL team using data from 12 expert mocks. Confidence charts, positional trends, and Round 1 projections revealed.
Welcome to NFL Draft Day 2025. Football Scout 365 delivers a comprehensive consensus mock draft, built from 12 top mocks—including national experts (Jeremiah, Kiper/Yates, Schrager, McShay, Brooks, Brugler) and our in-house models (Mocks 1.0–6.0).
This analysis offers three essential views to help you follow the first round like an NFL GM
Confidence Chart – See which player each team is most likely to draft, based on percentage confidence across all mocks.
Team-Player Frequency Table – Understand where each top prospect is most commonly mocked and how often they’re linked to specific teams.
Final Consensus Mock – A data-driven projection of all 32 picks, adjusted for positional runs, team needs, and board availability.
With insights into positional trends, team priorities, and draft-day dynamics, this analysis provides a strategic lens into how Round 1 could unfold—and where chaos may strike.
📺 Programming Note:
Catch every selection live, starting at 8 p.m. ET, April 24, across NFL Network, NFL+, NFL Channel, ABC, ESPN, ESPN2, and ESPN Deportes.
This analysis highlights player landing spots, confidence percentages, positional trends, team priorities, player versatility, and potential draft-day strategies and trades.

📌 Key Trends & Confidence Insights
✅ High-Confidence Picks (Clear Team Fits):
Titans (Pick 1): Cam Ward (QB, Miami)—66.67% - A near-lock as Tennessee urgently seeks a franchise quarterback.
Browns (Pick 2): Travis Hunter (CB/WR, Colorado)—58.33% - Hunter’s two-way potential makes him uniquely valuable to Cleveland.
Giants (Pick 3): Abdul Carter (EDGE, Penn State)—58.33% - New York prioritizes bolstering its pass rush significantly early.
Buccaneers (Pick 19): Jihaad Campbell (LB, Alabama)—50% - A versatile linebacker who fits Tampa’s defensive identity perfectly.
Steelers (Pick 21): Shedeur Sanders (QB, Colorado)—50% - Pittsburgh confidently pursues a potential franchise signal-caller.
⚠️ Lowest Confidence Picks (Potential Trade Hotspots):
Jets (Pick 7):Armand Membou (OT, Missouri)—25%, tied with Tyler Warren (TE, Penn State)—25%, showing significant indecision. Prime candidate for trading down.
Cardinals (Pick 16):Emeka Egbuka (WR, Ohio State)—25% tied with Walter Nolen (IDL, Ole Miss)—25%, indicating a crossroads that might prompt a trade scenario.
Bengals (Pick 17):Malaki Starks (S, Georgia)—25%, closely contested by multiple EDGE prospects, highlighting uncertainty and potential movement.
🔥 Closest Draft-Night Battles:
Jaguars (Pick 5): Tied at 41.67%: explosive RB Ashton Jeanty (Boise State) vs. dominant IDL Mason Graham (Michigan)—a pivotal pick impacting subsequent selections.
49ers (Pick 11): Grey Zabel (G, North Dakota State) at 41.67% edges out CB Jahdae Barron (33.33%). Jeremiah’s latest mock significantly influenced this shift.
Colts (Pick 14), Broncos (Pick 20), Chargers (Pick 22): All closely contesting top TE Colston Loveland (Michigan) (around 41.67%)—showing league-wide demand for impactful tight ends.
🏈 Position-by-Position Demand Analysis
📌 Quarterbacks (High Priority)
Cam Ward (Miami): Projected heavily to Titans (66.67%), potential fallback for Giants/Jets.
Shedeur Sanders (Colorado): Strongly linked to Steelers (50%) and Raiders (33.33%)—QB-needy franchises eyeing long-term stability.
📌 Offensive Tackles (League-Wide Need)
Kelvin Banks Jr. (Texas): Targeted by 6 teams, notably Texans (33.33%)—teams valuing premier protection for franchise quarterbacks.
Will Campbell (LSU): Primary Patriots (50%) target—highly valued pass-protector.
Josh Simmons (Ohio State): Chiefs and Rams (33.33%) highly interested—teams with critical O-line gaps.
📌 Edge Rushers & Linebackers (Pass Rush Emphasis)
Abdul Carter (Penn State): Giants' clear choice (58.33%), with Titans as a fallback—impact EDGE talent in top demand.
Mykel Williams (Georgia): Linked strongly to Saints (41.67%) and Lions (33.33%)—teams prioritizing edge disruption.
Jihaad Campbell (Alabama): Buccaneers (50%) and Falcons (41.67%) seek versatile linebackers.
📌 Cornerbacks & Safeties (Secondary Reinforcement)
Travis Hunter (Colorado): Browns' primary target (58.33%), Giants/Patriots secondary option—valued for exceptional versatility.
Jahdae Barron (Texas): Linked to 5 teams, primarily Dolphins and 49ers (33.33%)—highly versatile cornerback.
Will Johnson (Michigan): Coveted by 6 teams (Saints, Dolphins, Buccaneers, Jaguars, Packers, Giants)—premier lockdown cornerback prospect.
Malaki Starks (Georgia): Vikings and Bills (41.67%), targeted by Bengals—valuable secondary asset for contending teams.
🎯 Team-Specific Strategic Insights
Quarterback-Driven Strategy (Titans, Steelers, Raiders): Teams clearly targeting QBs early to reset or establish franchise stability.
Offensive Line Focus (Patriots, Texans, Rams, Chiefs): A strategic priority to enhance pass protection and offensive continuity, vital for competitive teams.
Defensive Front Seven Priorities. (Giants, Panthers, Saints, Lions, Falcons, Buccaneers): Clear intent to dominate defensively by securing top EDGE and linebacker talents, essential to counter explosive passing offenses.
Secondary Strengthening (Browns, Dolphins, 49ers, Packers, Vikings, Bills): League-wide emphasis on reinforcing defensive backfields to address modern NFL passing schemes.
📊 Draft-Day Implications & Trade Scenarios
High-Confidence Locks (Picks 1-3): Expect little movement early; teams likely staying put to secure primary targets (Ward, Hunter, Carter).
Potential Trade Hotspots (Jets, Jaguars, Cardinals, Bengals): Low-confidence projections could prompt these teams to trade down for additional capital if targeted players are off the board.
Mid-to-Late Round Intrigue: Tight end runs (Colts, Broncos, Chargers) and OT/Safety demands (Texans, Rams, Chiefs, Vikings, Bills) likely shaping late first-round action, with trades plausible as teams jockey for premium talent.
🗒️ Key Players to Watch on Draft Night
Cam Ward, QB (Miami): Likely the top overall pick; watch closely for trade offers, but Tennessee is locked in on Ward, according to sources.
Travis Hunter, CB/WR (Colorado): A versatile superstar coveted early, potential catalyst for draft-night moves if not selected by Cleveland.
Kelvin Banks Jr., OT (Texas) & Malaki Starks, S (Georgia): Versatile assets attracting widespread attention; expect teams to maneuver aggressively for these two players.
This comprehensive breakdown offers unmatched insights into each team’s mindset, positional value, and strategic approach heading into an exciting 2025 NFL Draft. Stay tuned for real-time analysis and potential surprises as franchises navigate critical decisions that will shape their futures.
🔢 Confidence Picks by Team
See which player each team is most likely to draft based on confidence percentages across 12 mock drafts.
# | Team | Consensus Pick | Secondary Pick | Tertiary Pick |
1 | Titans | Cam Ward (Miami), QB, 66.67% | Abdul Carter (Penn State), EDGE, 25% | Travis Hunter (Colorado), CB, 8.33% |
2 | Browns | Travis Hunter (Colorado), CB/WR, 58.33% | Mason Graham (Michigan), IDL, 25% | Shedeur Sanders (Colorado), QB, 16.67% |
3 | Giants | Abdul Carter (Penn State), EDGE, 58.33% | Travis Hunter (Colorado), CB, 16.67% | Cam Ward (Miami), QB, 16.67% |
4 | Patriots | Will Campbell (LSU), OT, 50% | Travis Hunter (Colorado), CB, 16.67% | Kelvin Banks Jr. (Texas), OT, 8.33% |
5 | Jaguars | Ashton Jeanty (Boise State), RB, 41.67% | Mason Graham (Michigan), IDL, 41.67% | Will Johnson (Michigan), CB, 16.67% |
6 | Raiders | Shedeur Sanders (Colorado), QB, 33.33% | Ashton Jeanty (Boise State), RB, 25% | Kelvin Banks Jr. (Texas), OT, 16.67% |
7 | Jets | Armand Membou (Missouri), OT, 25% | Tyler Warren (Penn State), TE, 25% | Cam Ward (Miami), QB, 16.67% |
8 | Panthers | Jalon Walker (Georgia), EDGE, 41.67% | Mason Graham (Michigan), IDL, 16.67% | Mike Green (Marshall), EDGE, 16.67% |
9 | Saints | Mykel Williams (Georgia), EDGE, 41.67% | Will Johnson (Michigan), CB, 16.67% | Shedeur Sanders (Colorado), QB, 16.67% |
10 | Bears | Tyler Warren (Penn State), TE, 41.67% | Will Campbell (LSU), OT, 16.67% | Kelvin Banks Jr. (Texas), OT, 16.67% |
11 | 49ers | Grey Zabel (North Dakota State), G, 41.67% | Jahdae Barron (Texas), CB, 33.33% | Walter Nolen (Ole Miss), DT, 16.67% |
12 | Cowboys | Ashton Jeanty (Boise State), RB, 33.33% | Tetairoa McMillan (Arizona), WR, 16.67% | Omarion Hampton (North Carolina), RB, 16.67% |
13 | Dolphins | Jahdae Barron (Texas), CB, 33.33% | Malaki Starks (Georgia), S, 16.67% | Will Johnson (Michigan), CB, 16.67% |
14 | Colts | Colston Loveland (Michigan), TE, 41.67% | Tyler Warren (Penn State), TE, 33.33% | Shemar Stewart (Texas A&M), EDGE, 16.67% |
15 | Falcons | Jihaad Campbell (Alabama), LB, 41.67% | Jalon Walker (Georgia), EDGE, 16.67% | Mike Green (Marshall), EDGE, 16.67% |
16 | Cardinals | Emeka Egbuka (Ohio State), WR, 25% | Walter Nolen (Ole Miss), IDL, 25% | Jahdae Barron (Texas), CB, 16.67% |
17 | Bengals | Malaki Starks (Georgia), S, 25% | Mike Green (Marshall), EDGE, 16.67% | Donovan Ezeiruaku (Boston College), EDGE, 16.67% |
18 | Seahawks | Grey Zabel (North Dakota State), G, 36.36% | Tetairoa McMillan (Arizona), WR, 18.18% | Jalon Walker (Georgia), LB, 18.18% |
19 | Buccaneers | Jihaad Campbell (Alabama), LB, 50% | Matthew Golden (Texas), WR, 16.67% | Will Johnson (Michigan), CB, 16.67% |
20 | Broncos | Colston Loveland (Michigan), TE, 41.67% | Tyler Warren (Penn State), TE, 33.33% | Omarion Hampton (North Carolina), RB, 25% |
21 | Steelers | Shedeur Sanders (Colorado), QB, 50% | Omarion Hampton (North Carolina), WR, 16.67% | Derrick Harmon (Oregon), DT, 16.67% |
22 | Chargers | Colston Loveland (Michigan), TE, 41.67% | TreVeyon Henderson (Ohio State), RB, 16.67% | Kenneth Grant (Michigan), DT, 16.67% |
23 | Packers | Maxwell Hairston (Kentucky), CB, 41.67% | Will Johnson (Michigan), CB, 16.67% | Shemar Stewart (Texas A&M), EDGE, 8.33% |
24 | Vikings | Malaki Starks (Georgia), S, 41.67% | Nick Emmanwori (South Carolina), S, 16.67% | Derrick Harmon (Oregon), DT, 16.67% |
25 | Texans | Kelvin Banks Jr. (Texas), OT, 33.33% | Tyler Booker (Alabama), OL, 25% | Tetairoa McMillan (Arizona), WR, 16.67% |
26 | Rams | Josh Simmons (Ohio State), OT, 33.33% | Kelvin Banks (Texas), OT, 16.67% | Omarion Hampton (North Carolina), RB, 16.67% |
27 | Ravens | Kenneth Grant (Michigan), IDL, 33.33% | Malaki Starks (Georgia), S, 16.67% | Josh Simmons (Ohio State), OT, 16.67% |
28 | Lions | Mykel Williams (Georgia), EDGE, 33.33% | Maxwell Hairston (Kentucky), CB, 16.67% | Donovan Jackson (Ohio State), OL, 16.67% |
29 | Commanders | Emeka Egbuka (Ohio State), WR, 27.27% | Jahdae Barron (Texas), CB, 18.18% | Donovan Ezeiruaku (Boston College), EDGE, 18.18% |
30 | Bills | Malaki Starks (Georgia), S, 41.67% | Trey Amos (Ole Miss), CB, 16.67% | Luther Burden (Missouri), WR, 16.67% |
31 | Chiefs | Josh Simmons (Ohio State), OT, 33.33% | Josh Conerly Jr. (Oregon), OT, 25% | TreVeyon Henderson (Ohio State), RB, 5.5% |
32 | Eagles | Nick Emmanwori (South Carolina), S, 25% | Jihaad Campbell (Alabama), LB, 16.67% | Donovan Ezeiruaku (Boston College), EDGE, 16.67% |
📊 Player-to-Team Mock Frequency Table
Track how often each top prospect is linked to specific teams throughout the consensus mock data.
Player Name | Mocked Teams and Percentages |
Abdul Carter | Giants, 58.33%, Titans, 25% |
Armand Membou | Jets, 25%, Raiders, 16.67%, Colts, 8.33% |
Ashton Jeanty | Jaguars, 41.67%, Cowboys, 33.33%, Raiders, 25% |
Cam Ward | Titans, 66.67%, Giants, 16.67%, Jets, 16.67% |
Colston Loveland | Colts, 41.67%, Chargers, 41.67%, Broncos, 41.67% |
Derrick Harmon | Steelers, 16.67%, Vikings, 16.67%, Cardinals, 16.67% |
Donovan Ezeiruaku | Commanders, 18.18%, Bengals, 16.67%, Eagles, 16.67%, Lions, 16.67% |
Donovan Jackson | Vikings, 16.67%, Lions, 16.67%, Commanders, 9.09% |
Emeka Egbuka | Commanders, 27.27%, Cardinals, 25%, Chargers, 8.33% |
Grey Zabel | 49ers, 41.67%, Seahawks, 36.36% |
Jahdae Barron | 49ers, 33.33%, Dolphins, 33.33%, Commanders, 18.18%, Cardinals, 16.67%, Vikings, 16.67% |
Jalon Walker | Panthers, 41.67%, Seahawks, 18.18%, Falcons, 16.67% |
James Pearce Jr. | Bengals, 8.33%, Falcons, 8.33% |
Jihaad Campbell | Bucs, 50%, Falcons, 41.67%, Eagles, 16.67% |
Josh Conerly Jr. | Chiefs, 25%, Rams, 8.33% |
Josh Simmons | Rams, 33.33%, Chiefs, 33.33%, Ravens, 16.67% |
Kelvin Banks Jr. | Texans, 33.33%, Raiders, 16.67%, Bears, 16.67%, Cardinals, 16.67%, Rams, 16.67%, Patriots, 8.33% |
Kenneth Grant | Ravens, 33.33%, Chargers, 16.67% |
Luther Burden | Bills, 16.67%, Commanders, 9.09% |
Malaki Starks | Vikings, 41.67%, Bills, 41.67%, Bengals, 25%, Ravens, 16.67%, Dolphins, 16.67% |
Mason Graham | Jaguars, 41.67%, Browns, 25%, Panthers, 16.67% |
Matthew Golden | Cowboys, 16.67%, Bucs, 16.67%, Commanders, 9.09% |
Maxwell Hairston | Packers, 41.67%, Lions, 16.67% |
Mike Green | Panthers, 16.67%, Falcons, 16.67%, Bengals, 16.67% |
Mykel Williams | Saints, 41.67%, Lions, 33.33%, Panthers, 16.67%, Cardinals, 8.33% |
Nick Emmanwori | Eagles, 25%, Vikings, 16.67%, Dolphins, 8.33%, Bucs, 8.33% |
Omarion Hampton | Broncos, 25%, Cowboys, 16.67%, Steelers, 16.67%, Rams, 16.67% |
Shavon Revel Jr. | Commanders, 9.09% |
Shedeur Sanders | Steelers, 50%, Raiders, 33.33%, Browns, 16.67%, Saints, 16.67% |
Shemar Stewart | Colts, 16.67%, 49ers, 16.67%, Commanders, 9.09%, Bengals, 8.33%, Packers, 8.33% |
Tetairoa McMillan | Seahawks, 18.18%, Cowboys, 16.67%, Texans, 16.67%, Saints, 8.33% |
Travis Hunter | Browns, 58.33%, Giants, 16.67%, Patriots, 16.67%, Titans, 8.33% |
TreVeyon Henderson | Chargers, 16.67%, Broncos, 8.33% |
Trey Amos | Bills, 16.67% |
Tyler Booker | Texans, 25%, Cowboys, 8.33% |
Tyler Warren | Bears, 41.67%, Colts, 33.33%, Broncos, 33.33%, Jets, 25% |
Walter Nolen | Cardinals, 25%, 49ers, 16.67%, Bengals, 16.67% |
Will Campbell | Patriots, 50%, Bears, 16.67% |
Will Johnson | Saints, 16.67%, Dolphins, 16.67%, Bucs, 16.67%, Jaguars, 16.67%, Packers, 16.67%, Giants, 8.33% |
2025 NFL Draft: Consensus Mock Draft Powered by 12 Industry & In-House Projections
As we enter Round 1 of the 2025 NFL Draft, Football Scout 365 unveils its consensus mock draft, a projection rooted in data from 12 different mocks—six from top national analysts (Daniel Jeremiah, Kiper/Yates, Peter Schrager, Todd McShay, Bucky Brooks, Dane Brugler) and six in-house models (Mocks 1.0–6.0). This analysis identifies the most likely picks for all 32 teams based on confidence percentages, with adjustments made to reflect real-world board movement and roster needs.
Top 3 Locks: Ward, Hunter, Carter Lead the Board
At the top, Cam Ward (QB, Miami) leads the consensus with 66.67% confidence to the Tennessee Titans, signaling a clear quarterback need and alignment across the board. He's followed closely by Travis Hunter (CB/WR, Colorado) to the Cleveland Browns at 58.33%, and Abdul Carter (EDGE, Penn State) to the New York Giants—also at 58.33%. These high-confidence picks reflect both positional need and widespread mock agreement.
Where Adjustments Were Made: Draft Board Dynamics in Action
Several selections in this mock deviate from pure consensus due to positional runs and earlier selections. The Raiders selected Ashton Jeanty (RB) after Shedeur Sanders fell to a later slot, while the Jaguars pivoted to Mason Graham (IDL) after Jeanty was off the board. Similar shifts occurred for the Cowboys (selecting WR Tetairoa McMillan) and Broncos (taking RB Omarion Hampton) after top tight ends were scooped up earlier than projected.
Position Breakdown: Trenches Dominate the 2025 First Round
Offensive tackles were the most targeted position with five selections (Picks 4, 7, 18, 26, 31), underlining the league-wide urgency to shore up protection. Cornerbacks followed with five picks, then guards (3), edge rushers (3), interior defensive linemen (3), and safeties (2). Quarterbacks saw only two picks—Ward and Sanders—due to fit and board positioning, despite being a high-value position in most drafts.
Team Strategy Trends: Staying on Script vs. Adapting On the Fly
This consensus mock doesn’t just forecast player destinations—it reveals how teams might think. The Steelers (Shedeur Sanders, 50%), Colts (Colston Loveland, TE), and Falcons (Jihaad Campbell, LB) stayed aligned with prior consensus. Meanwhile, the Texans (Tyler Booker over Kelvin Banks Jr.) and Bills (Trey Amos over Malaki Starks) made strategic pivots based on real-time changes in player availability and schematic fit.
Final Takeaway: A Snapshot of Draft Day Possibilities
This consensus mock offers more than just a list of names—it captures momentum, market sentiment, and strategic intent from NFL franchises. It highlights where general agreement exists (e.g., Titans with Ward) and where chaos may reign (e.g., Jets, Jaguars, Cardinals). As teams adjust on the fly, this model serves as a data-driven lens into what we might see unfold on draft night.
🧠 Final Consensus Mock Draft – Adjusted for Team Needs & Board Movement
A data-informed projection of all 32 picks, factoring in positional trends, availability, and team strategy.
Pick | Team | Player | Position | Confidence |
1 | Titans | Cam Ward (Miami) | QB | 67% |
2 | Browns | Travis Hunter (Colorado) | CB | 58% |
3 | Giants | Abdul Carter (Penn State) | EDGE | 58% |
4 | Patriots | Will Campbell (LSU) | OT | 50% |
5 | Jaguars | Mason Graham (Michigan) | IDL | 42% |
6 | Raiders | Ashton Jeanty (Boise State) | RB | 33% |
7 | Jets | Armand Membou (Missouri) | OT | 25% |
8 | Panthers | Jalon Walker (Georgia) | LB | 42% |
9 | Saints | Mykel Williams (Georgia) | EDGE | 42% |
10 | Bears | Tyler Warren (Penn State) | TE | 42% |
11 | 49ers | Grey Zabel (North Dakota State) | G | 42% |
12 | Cowboys | Tetairoa McMillan (Arizona) | WR | 25% |
13 | Dolphins | Jahdae Barron (Texas) | CB | 33% |
14 | Colts | Colston Loveland (Michigan) | TE | 42% |
15 | Falcons | Jihaad Campbell (Alabama) | LB | 42% |
16 | Cardinals | Emeka Egbuka (Ohio State) | WR | 25% |
17 | Bengals | Malaki Starks (Georgia) | S | 25% |
18 | Seahawks | Kelvin Banks Jr. (Texas) | OT | 5% |
19 | Buccaneers | Will Johnson (Michigan) | CB | 5% |
20 | Broncos | Omarion Hampton (North Carolina) | RB | 10% |
21 | Steelers | Shedeur Sanders (Colorado) | QB | 50% |
22 | Chargers | TreVeyon Henderson (Ohio State) | RB | 10% |
23 | Packers | Maxwell Hairston (Kentucky) | CB | 42% |
24 | Vikings | Derrick Harmon (Oregon) | IDL | 10% |
25 | Texans | Tyler Booker (Alabama) | G | 2% |
26 | Rams | Josh Simmons (Ohio State) | OT | 33% |
27 | Ravens | Kenneth Grant (Michigan) | IDL | 33% |
28 | Lions | Donovan Jackson (Ohio State) | G | 11% |
29 | Commanders | Donovan Ezeiruaku (Boston College) | EDGE | 5% |
30 | Bills | Trey Amos (Ole Miss) | CB | 5% |
31 | Chiefs | Josh Conerly Jr. (Oregon) | OT | 15% |
32 | Eagles | Nick Emmanwori (South Carolina) | S | 25% |