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2025 NFL Draft: Consensus Mock Based on 12 Expert Mocks & Advanced Team Fit Projections

See the most likely picks for every NFL team using data from 12 expert mocks. Confidence charts, positional trends, and Round 1 projections revealed.


Welcome to NFL Draft Day 2025. Football Scout 365 delivers a comprehensive consensus mock draft, built from 12 top mocks—including national experts (Jeremiah, Kiper/Yates, Schrager, McShay, Brooks, Brugler) and our in-house models (Mocks 1.0–6.0).


This analysis offers three essential views to help you follow the first round like an NFL GM


  1. Confidence Chart – See which player each team is most likely to draft, based on percentage confidence across all mocks.

  2. Team-Player Frequency Table – Understand where each top prospect is most commonly mocked and how often they’re linked to specific teams.

  3. Final Consensus Mock – A data-driven projection of all 32 picks, adjusted for positional runs, team needs, and board availability.


With insights into positional trends, team priorities, and draft-day dynamics, this analysis provides a strategic lens into how Round 1 could unfold—and where chaos may strike.


📺 Programming Note:

Catch every selection live, starting at 8 p.m. ET, April 24, across NFL Network, NFL+, NFL Channel, ABC, ESPN, ESPN2, and ESPN Deportes.


This analysis highlights player landing spots, confidence percentages, positional trends, team priorities, player versatility, and potential draft-day strategies and trades.


2025 NFL Draft Ultimate Analysis: Consensus Projections, Confidence Scores & Team Strategies

📌 Key Trends & Confidence Insights

✅ High-Confidence Picks (Clear Team Fits):

  • Titans (Pick 1): Cam Ward (QB, Miami)66.67% - A near-lock as Tennessee urgently seeks a franchise quarterback.

  • Browns (Pick 2): Travis Hunter (CB/WR, Colorado)58.33% - Hunter’s two-way potential makes him uniquely valuable to Cleveland.

  • Giants (Pick 3): Abdul Carter (EDGE, Penn State)58.33% - New York prioritizes bolstering its pass rush significantly early.

  • Buccaneers (Pick 19): Jihaad Campbell (LB, Alabama)50% - A versatile linebacker who fits Tampa’s defensive identity perfectly.

  • Steelers (Pick 21): Shedeur Sanders (QB, Colorado)50% - Pittsburgh confidently pursues a potential franchise signal-caller.


⚠️ Lowest Confidence Picks (Potential Trade Hotspots):

  • Jets (Pick 7):Armand Membou (OT, Missouri)25%, tied with Tyler Warren (TE, Penn State)25%, showing significant indecision. Prime candidate for trading down.

  • Cardinals (Pick 16):Emeka Egbuka (WR, Ohio State)25% tied with Walter Nolen (IDL, Ole Miss)25%, indicating a crossroads that might prompt a trade scenario.

  • Bengals (Pick 17):Malaki Starks (S, Georgia)25%, closely contested by multiple EDGE prospects, highlighting uncertainty and potential movement.


🔥 Closest Draft-Night Battles:

  • Jaguars (Pick 5): Tied at 41.67%: explosive RB Ashton Jeanty (Boise State) vs. dominant IDL Mason Graham (Michigan)—a pivotal pick impacting subsequent selections.

  • 49ers (Pick 11): Grey Zabel (G, North Dakota State) at 41.67% edges out CB Jahdae Barron (33.33%). Jeremiah’s latest mock significantly influenced this shift.

  • Colts (Pick 14), Broncos (Pick 20), Chargers (Pick 22): All closely contesting top TE Colston Loveland (Michigan) (around 41.67%)—showing league-wide demand for impactful tight ends.


🏈 Position-by-Position Demand Analysis

📌 Quarterbacks (High Priority)

  • Cam Ward (Miami): Projected heavily to Titans (66.67%), potential fallback for Giants/Jets.

  • Shedeur Sanders (Colorado): Strongly linked to Steelers (50%) and Raiders (33.33%)—QB-needy franchises eyeing long-term stability.


📌 Offensive Tackles (League-Wide Need)

  • Kelvin Banks Jr. (Texas): Targeted by 6 teams, notably Texans (33.33%)—teams valuing premier protection for franchise quarterbacks.

  • Will Campbell (LSU): Primary Patriots (50%) target—highly valued pass-protector.

  • Josh Simmons (Ohio State): Chiefs and Rams (33.33%) highly interested—teams with critical O-line gaps.


📌 Edge Rushers & Linebackers (Pass Rush Emphasis)

  • Abdul Carter (Penn State): Giants' clear choice (58.33%), with Titans as a fallback—impact EDGE talent in top demand.

  • Mykel Williams (Georgia): Linked strongly to Saints (41.67%) and Lions (33.33%)—teams prioritizing edge disruption.

  • Jihaad Campbell (Alabama): Buccaneers (50%) and Falcons (41.67%) seek versatile linebackers.


📌 Cornerbacks & Safeties (Secondary Reinforcement)

  • Travis Hunter (Colorado): Browns' primary target (58.33%), Giants/Patriots secondary option—valued for exceptional versatility.

  • Jahdae Barron (Texas): Linked to 5 teams, primarily Dolphins and 49ers (33.33%)—highly versatile cornerback.

  • Will Johnson (Michigan): Coveted by 6 teams (Saints, Dolphins, Buccaneers, Jaguars, Packers, Giants)—premier lockdown cornerback prospect.

  • Malaki Starks (Georgia): Vikings and Bills (41.67%), targeted by Bengals—valuable secondary asset for contending teams.


🎯 Team-Specific Strategic Insights

  • Quarterback-Driven Strategy (Titans, Steelers, Raiders): Teams clearly targeting QBs early to reset or establish franchise stability.

  • Offensive Line Focus (Patriots, Texans, Rams, Chiefs): A strategic priority to enhance pass protection and offensive continuity, vital for competitive teams.

  • Defensive Front Seven Priorities. (Giants, Panthers, Saints, Lions, Falcons, Buccaneers): Clear intent to dominate defensively by securing top EDGE and linebacker talents, essential to counter explosive passing offenses.

  • Secondary Strengthening (Browns, Dolphins, 49ers, Packers, Vikings, Bills): League-wide emphasis on reinforcing defensive backfields to address modern NFL passing schemes.


📊 Draft-Day Implications & Trade Scenarios

  • High-Confidence Locks (Picks 1-3): Expect little movement early; teams likely staying put to secure primary targets (Ward, Hunter, Carter).

  • Potential Trade Hotspots (Jets, Jaguars, Cardinals, Bengals): Low-confidence projections could prompt these teams to trade down for additional capital if targeted players are off the board.

  • Mid-to-Late Round Intrigue: Tight end runs (Colts, Broncos, Chargers) and OT/Safety demands (Texans, Rams, Chiefs, Vikings, Bills) likely shaping late first-round action, with trades plausible as teams jockey for premium talent.


🗒️ Key Players to Watch on Draft Night

  • Cam Ward, QB (Miami): Likely the top overall pick; watch closely for trade offers, but Tennessee is locked in on Ward, according to sources.

  • Travis Hunter, CB/WR (Colorado): A versatile superstar coveted early, potential catalyst for draft-night moves if not selected by Cleveland.

  • Kelvin Banks Jr., OT (Texas) & Malaki Starks, S (Georgia): Versatile assets attracting widespread attention; expect teams to maneuver aggressively for these two players.


This comprehensive breakdown offers unmatched insights into each team’s mindset, positional value, and strategic approach heading into an exciting 2025 NFL Draft. Stay tuned for real-time analysis and potential surprises as franchises navigate critical decisions that will shape their futures.


🔢 Confidence Picks by Team

See which player each team is most likely to draft based on confidence percentages across 12 mock drafts.

#

Team

Consensus Pick

Secondary Pick

Tertiary Pick

1

Titans

Cam Ward (Miami), QB, 66.67%

Abdul Carter (Penn State), EDGE, 25%

Travis Hunter (Colorado), CB, 8.33%

2

Browns

Travis Hunter (Colorado), CB/WR, 58.33%

Mason Graham (Michigan), IDL, 25%

Shedeur Sanders (Colorado), QB, 16.67%

3

Giants

Abdul Carter (Penn State), EDGE, 58.33%

Travis Hunter (Colorado), CB, 16.67%

Cam Ward (Miami), QB, 16.67%

4

Patriots

Will Campbell (LSU), OT, 50%

Travis Hunter (Colorado), CB, 16.67%

Kelvin Banks Jr. (Texas), OT, 8.33%

5

Jaguars

Ashton Jeanty (Boise State), RB, 41.67%

Mason Graham (Michigan), IDL, 41.67%

Will Johnson (Michigan), CB, 16.67%

6

Raiders

Shedeur Sanders (Colorado), QB, 33.33%

Ashton Jeanty (Boise State), RB, 25%

Kelvin Banks Jr. (Texas), OT, 16.67%

7

Jets

Armand Membou (Missouri), OT, 25%

Tyler Warren (Penn State), TE, 25%

Cam Ward (Miami), QB, 16.67%

8

Panthers

Jalon Walker (Georgia), EDGE, 41.67%

Mason Graham (Michigan), IDL, 16.67%

Mike Green (Marshall), EDGE, 16.67%

9

Saints

Mykel Williams (Georgia), EDGE, 41.67%

Will Johnson (Michigan), CB, 16.67%

Shedeur Sanders (Colorado), QB, 16.67%

10

Bears

Tyler Warren (Penn State), TE, 41.67%

Will Campbell (LSU), OT, 16.67%

Kelvin Banks Jr. (Texas), OT, 16.67%

11

49ers

Grey Zabel (North Dakota State), G, 41.67%

Jahdae Barron (Texas), CB, 33.33%

Walter Nolen (Ole Miss), DT, 16.67%

12

Cowboys

Ashton Jeanty (Boise State), RB, 33.33%

Tetairoa McMillan (Arizona), WR, 16.67%

Omarion Hampton (North Carolina), RB, 16.67%

13

Dolphins

Jahdae Barron (Texas), CB, 33.33%

Malaki Starks (Georgia), S, 16.67%

Will Johnson (Michigan), CB, 16.67%

14

Colts

Colston Loveland (Michigan), TE, 41.67%

Tyler Warren (Penn State), TE, 33.33%

Shemar Stewart (Texas A&M), EDGE, 16.67%

15

Falcons

Jihaad Campbell (Alabama), LB, 41.67%

Jalon Walker (Georgia), EDGE, 16.67%

Mike Green (Marshall), EDGE, 16.67%

16

Cardinals

Emeka Egbuka (Ohio State), WR, 25%

Walter Nolen (Ole Miss), IDL, 25%

Jahdae Barron (Texas), CB, 16.67%

17

Bengals

Malaki Starks (Georgia), S, 25%

Mike Green (Marshall), EDGE, 16.67%

Donovan Ezeiruaku (Boston College), EDGE, 16.67%

18

Seahawks

Grey Zabel (North Dakota State), G, 36.36%

Tetairoa McMillan (Arizona), WR, 18.18%

Jalon Walker (Georgia), LB, 18.18%

19

Buccaneers

Jihaad Campbell (Alabama), LB, 50%

Matthew Golden (Texas), WR, 16.67%

Will Johnson (Michigan), CB, 16.67%

20

Broncos

Colston Loveland (Michigan), TE, 41.67%

Tyler Warren (Penn State), TE, 33.33%

Omarion Hampton (North Carolina), RB, 25%

21

Steelers

Shedeur Sanders (Colorado), QB, 50%

Omarion Hampton (North Carolina), WR, 16.67%

Derrick Harmon (Oregon), DT, 16.67%

22

Chargers

Colston Loveland (Michigan), TE, 41.67%

TreVeyon Henderson (Ohio State), RB, 16.67%

Kenneth Grant (Michigan), DT, 16.67%

23

Packers

Maxwell Hairston (Kentucky), CB, 41.67%

Will Johnson (Michigan), CB, 16.67%

Shemar Stewart (Texas A&M), EDGE, 8.33%

24

Vikings

Malaki Starks (Georgia), S, 41.67%

Nick Emmanwori (South Carolina), S, 16.67%

Derrick Harmon (Oregon), DT, 16.67%

25

Texans

Kelvin Banks Jr. (Texas), OT, 33.33%

Tyler Booker (Alabama), OL, 25%

Tetairoa McMillan (Arizona), WR, 16.67%

26

Rams

Josh Simmons (Ohio State), OT, 33.33%

Kelvin Banks (Texas), OT, 16.67%

Omarion Hampton (North Carolina), RB, 16.67%

27

Ravens

Kenneth Grant (Michigan), IDL, 33.33%

Malaki Starks (Georgia), S, 16.67%

Josh Simmons (Ohio State), OT, 16.67%

28

Lions

Mykel Williams (Georgia), EDGE, 33.33%

Maxwell Hairston (Kentucky), CB, 16.67%

Donovan Jackson (Ohio State), OL, 16.67%

29

Commanders

Emeka Egbuka (Ohio State), WR, 27.27%

Jahdae Barron (Texas), CB, 18.18%

Donovan Ezeiruaku (Boston College), EDGE, 18.18%

30

Bills

Malaki Starks (Georgia), S, 41.67%

Trey Amos (Ole Miss), CB, 16.67%

Luther Burden (Missouri), WR, 16.67%

31

Chiefs

Josh Simmons (Ohio State), OT, 33.33%

Josh Conerly Jr. (Oregon), OT, 25%

TreVeyon Henderson (Ohio State), RB, 5.5%

32

Eagles

Nick Emmanwori (South Carolina), S, 25%

Jihaad Campbell (Alabama), LB, 16.67%

Donovan Ezeiruaku (Boston College), EDGE, 16.67%


📊 Player-to-Team Mock Frequency Table

Track how often each top prospect is linked to specific teams throughout the consensus mock data.


Player Name

Mocked Teams and Percentages

Abdul Carter

Giants, 58.33%, Titans, 25%

Armand Membou

Jets, 25%, Raiders, 16.67%, Colts, 8.33%

Ashton Jeanty

Jaguars, 41.67%, Cowboys, 33.33%, Raiders, 25%

Cam Ward

Titans, 66.67%, Giants, 16.67%, Jets, 16.67%

Colston Loveland

Colts, 41.67%, Chargers, 41.67%, Broncos, 41.67%

Derrick Harmon

Steelers, 16.67%, Vikings, 16.67%, Cardinals, 16.67%

Donovan Ezeiruaku

Commanders, 18.18%, Bengals, 16.67%, Eagles, 16.67%, Lions, 16.67%

Donovan Jackson

Vikings, 16.67%, Lions, 16.67%, Commanders, 9.09%

Emeka Egbuka

Commanders, 27.27%, Cardinals, 25%, Chargers, 8.33%

Grey Zabel

49ers, 41.67%, Seahawks, 36.36%

Jahdae Barron

49ers, 33.33%, Dolphins, 33.33%, Commanders, 18.18%, Cardinals, 16.67%, Vikings, 16.67%

Jalon Walker

Panthers, 41.67%, Seahawks, 18.18%, Falcons, 16.67%

James Pearce Jr.

Bengals, 8.33%, Falcons, 8.33%

Jihaad Campbell

Bucs, 50%, Falcons, 41.67%, Eagles, 16.67%

Josh Conerly Jr.

Chiefs, 25%, Rams, 8.33%

Josh Simmons

Rams, 33.33%, Chiefs, 33.33%, Ravens, 16.67%

Kelvin Banks Jr.

Texans, 33.33%, Raiders, 16.67%, Bears, 16.67%, Cardinals, 16.67%, Rams, 16.67%, Patriots, 8.33%

Kenneth Grant

Ravens, 33.33%, Chargers, 16.67%

Luther Burden

Bills, 16.67%, Commanders, 9.09%

Malaki Starks

Vikings, 41.67%, Bills, 41.67%, Bengals, 25%, Ravens, 16.67%, Dolphins, 16.67%

Mason Graham

Jaguars, 41.67%, Browns, 25%, Panthers, 16.67%

Matthew Golden

Cowboys, 16.67%, Bucs, 16.67%, Commanders, 9.09%

Maxwell Hairston

Packers, 41.67%, Lions, 16.67%

Mike Green

Panthers, 16.67%, Falcons, 16.67%, Bengals, 16.67%

Mykel Williams

Saints, 41.67%, Lions, 33.33%, Panthers, 16.67%, Cardinals, 8.33%

Nick Emmanwori

Eagles, 25%, Vikings, 16.67%, Dolphins, 8.33%, Bucs, 8.33%

Omarion Hampton

Broncos, 25%, Cowboys, 16.67%, Steelers, 16.67%, Rams, 16.67%

Shavon Revel Jr.

Commanders, 9.09%

Shedeur Sanders

Steelers, 50%, Raiders, 33.33%, Browns, 16.67%, Saints, 16.67%

Shemar Stewart

Colts, 16.67%, 49ers, 16.67%, Commanders, 9.09%, Bengals, 8.33%, Packers, 8.33%

Tetairoa McMillan

Seahawks, 18.18%, Cowboys, 16.67%, Texans, 16.67%, Saints, 8.33%

Travis Hunter

Browns, 58.33%, Giants, 16.67%, Patriots, 16.67%, Titans, 8.33%

TreVeyon Henderson

Chargers, 16.67%, Broncos, 8.33%

Trey Amos

Bills, 16.67%

Tyler Booker

Texans, 25%, Cowboys, 8.33%

Tyler Warren

Bears, 41.67%, Colts, 33.33%, Broncos, 33.33%, Jets, 25%

Walter Nolen

Cardinals, 25%, 49ers, 16.67%, Bengals, 16.67%

Will Campbell

Patriots, 50%, Bears, 16.67%

Will Johnson

Saints, 16.67%, Dolphins, 16.67%, Bucs, 16.67%, Jaguars, 16.67%, Packers, 16.67%, Giants, 8.33%


2025 NFL Draft: Consensus Mock Draft Powered by 12 Industry & In-House Projections


As we enter Round 1 of the 2025 NFL Draft, Football Scout 365 unveils its consensus mock draft, a projection rooted in data from 12 different mocks—six from top national analysts (Daniel Jeremiah, Kiper/Yates, Peter Schrager, Todd McShay, Bucky Brooks, Dane Brugler) and six in-house models (Mocks 1.0–6.0). This analysis identifies the most likely picks for all 32 teams based on confidence percentages, with adjustments made to reflect real-world board movement and roster needs.


Top 3 Locks: Ward, Hunter, Carter Lead the Board

At the top, Cam Ward (QB, Miami) leads the consensus with 66.67% confidence to the Tennessee Titans, signaling a clear quarterback need and alignment across the board. He's followed closely by Travis Hunter (CB/WR, Colorado) to the Cleveland Browns at 58.33%, and Abdul Carter (EDGE, Penn State) to the New York Giants—also at 58.33%. These high-confidence picks reflect both positional need and widespread mock agreement.


Where Adjustments Were Made: Draft Board Dynamics in Action

Several selections in this mock deviate from pure consensus due to positional runs and earlier selections. The Raiders selected Ashton Jeanty (RB) after Shedeur Sanders fell to a later slot, while the Jaguars pivoted to Mason Graham (IDL) after Jeanty was off the board. Similar shifts occurred for the Cowboys (selecting WR Tetairoa McMillan) and Broncos (taking RB Omarion Hampton) after top tight ends were scooped up earlier than projected.


Position Breakdown: Trenches Dominate the 2025 First Round

Offensive tackles were the most targeted position with five selections (Picks 4, 7, 18, 26, 31), underlining the league-wide urgency to shore up protection. Cornerbacks followed with five picks, then guards (3), edge rushers (3), interior defensive linemen (3), and safeties (2). Quarterbacks saw only two picks—Ward and Sanders—due to fit and board positioning, despite being a high-value position in most drafts.


Team Strategy Trends: Staying on Script vs. Adapting On the Fly

This consensus mock doesn’t just forecast player destinations—it reveals how teams might think. The Steelers (Shedeur Sanders, 50%), Colts (Colston Loveland, TE), and Falcons (Jihaad Campbell, LB) stayed aligned with prior consensus. Meanwhile, the Texans (Tyler Booker over Kelvin Banks Jr.) and Bills (Trey Amos over Malaki Starks) made strategic pivots based on real-time changes in player availability and schematic fit.


Final Takeaway: A Snapshot of Draft Day Possibilities

This consensus mock offers more than just a list of names—it captures momentum, market sentiment, and strategic intent from NFL franchises. It highlights where general agreement exists (e.g., Titans with Ward) and where chaos may reign (e.g., Jets, Jaguars, Cardinals). As teams adjust on the fly, this model serves as a data-driven lens into what we might see unfold on draft night.


🧠 Final Consensus Mock Draft – Adjusted for Team Needs & Board Movement

A data-informed projection of all 32 picks, factoring in positional trends, availability, and team strategy.

Pick

Team

Player

Position

Confidence

1

Titans

Cam Ward (Miami)

QB

67%

2

Browns

Travis Hunter (Colorado)

CB

58%

3

Giants

Abdul Carter (Penn State)

EDGE

58%

4

Patriots

Will Campbell (LSU)

OT

50%

5

Jaguars

Mason Graham (Michigan)

IDL

42%

6

Raiders

Ashton Jeanty (Boise State)

RB

33%

7

Jets

Armand Membou (Missouri)

OT

25%

8

Panthers

Jalon Walker (Georgia)

LB

42%

9

Saints

Mykel Williams (Georgia)

EDGE

42%

10

Bears

Tyler Warren (Penn State)

TE

42%

11

49ers

Grey Zabel (North Dakota State)

G

42%

12

Cowboys

Tetairoa McMillan (Arizona)

WR

25%

13

Dolphins

Jahdae Barron (Texas)

CB

33%

14

Colts

Colston Loveland (Michigan)

TE

42%

15

Falcons

Jihaad Campbell (Alabama)

LB

42%

16

Cardinals

Emeka Egbuka (Ohio State)

WR

25%

17

Bengals

Malaki Starks (Georgia)

S

25%

18

Seahawks

Kelvin Banks Jr. (Texas)

OT

5%

19

Buccaneers

Will Johnson (Michigan)

CB

5%

20

Broncos

Omarion Hampton (North Carolina)

RB

10%

21

Steelers

Shedeur Sanders (Colorado)

QB

50%

22

Chargers

TreVeyon Henderson (Ohio State)

RB

10%

23

Packers

Maxwell Hairston (Kentucky)

CB

42%

24

Vikings

Derrick Harmon (Oregon)

IDL

10%

25

Texans

Tyler Booker (Alabama)

G

2%

26

Rams

Josh Simmons (Ohio State)

OT

33%

27

Ravens

Kenneth Grant (Michigan)

IDL

33%

28

Lions

Donovan Jackson (Ohio State)

G

11%

29

Commanders

Donovan Ezeiruaku (Boston College)

EDGE

5%

30

Bills

Trey Amos (Ole Miss)

CB

5%

31

Chiefs

Josh Conerly Jr. (Oregon)

OT

15%

32

Eagles

Nick Emmanwori (South Carolina)

S

25%


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