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Below are my 2024 NFL fantasy football receiver projections using a tier-based system. Each tier is categorized by 0.5 point PPR ranges from tier one to tier four.
Tier one consists of the top 7 WRs and tier two includes the next 5, leaving tiers three and four with a vast allotment of high-floor and potential high-ceiling guys that could jump into tier two level. There are 4 total TEs within this list of 32 receivers.
Here are the tiers and the fantasy point ranges for each level. Enjoy!
Tier 1 WR-TE: 230+ .5 PPR
Tier 2 WR-TE: 200-229 .5 PPR
Tier 3 WR-TE: 180-199 .5 PPR
Tier 4 WR-TE: 160-179 .5 PPR
Tier 1 Receiver: 230+.5 PPR Points
1). Tyreek Hill, MIA WR
Projected 2024 Fantasy Points: 261
Targets: 160
Receiving Yards: 1500
Receiving TDs: 9
Tyreek Hill has been a consistent top performer in fantasy football, finishing the 2023 season with a career-high 1,799 receiving yards and 13 touchdowns. His elite speed and ability to create separation make him a prime target for deep throws, leading to substantial yardage and scoring opportunities. Hill's rapport with quarterback Tua Tagovailoa and his role as the primary offensive weapon for the Dolphins ensure he will continue to receive a high volume of targets, making him a low-risk, high-reward pick for 2024.
2). CeeDee Lamb, DAL WR
Projected 2024 Fantasy Points: 257
Targets: 160
Receiving Yards: 1450
Receiving TDs: 9
CeeDee Lamb emerged as one of the top fantasy wide receivers in 2023, finishing with 135 receptions for 1,749 yards and 12 touchdowns. Lamb's ability to excel in contested catch situations and his significant role in Dallas's red-zone offense highlight his reliability. His catch rate improved by 6% from 2022, and his yards per catch after reception increased by 13%, demonstrating his growth as a receiver. Lamb's consistency and high target share, coupled with Dallas's offensive strategy, make him a valuable asset in 2024.
3). Ja'Marr Chase, CIN WR
Projected 2024 Fantasy Points: 244
Targets: 165
Receiving Yards: 1350
Receiving TDs: 8
Ja'Marr Chase has quickly established himself as a key player for Cincinnati. In 2023, he was a focal point of the Bengals' offense, with a high target share and ability to generate explosive plays. Chase's chemistry with quarterback Joe Burrow and his proficiency in scoring touchdowns make him a top-tier receiver. His role in the offense is expected to remain substantial, ensuring continued high production in 2024.
4). Amon-Ra St. Brown, DET WR
Projected 2024 Fantasy Points: 244
Targets: 160
Receiving Yards: 1350
Receiving TDs: 8
Amon-Ra St. Brown has shown great promise with a strong target share in Detroit. He excels in short to intermediate routes and has been a reliable target for quarterback Jared Goff. St. Brown's ability to consistently move the chains and his involvement in the red zone make him a valuable fantasy asset. With 160 targets projected for 2024, his consistent performance and ability to rack up yards and touchdowns make him a top-tier fantasy receiver.
5). Justin Jefferson, MIN WR
Projected 2024 Fantasy Points: 242
Targets: 160
Receiving Yards: 1450
Receiving TDs: 7
Justin Jefferson remains a cornerstone for the Minnesota offense. Known for his exceptional route running and ability to make contested catches, Jefferson finished the 2023 season with significant yardage and touchdowns. With Kirk Cousins at quarterback, Jefferson continues to be the primary target in the Vikings' passing game, ensuring a high volume of targets and consistent production in 2024.
6). A.J. Brown, PHI WR
Projected 2024 Fantasy Points: 236
Targets: 150
Receiving Yards: 1400
Receiving TDs: 8
A.J. Brown's physicality and big-play potential make him a high-value target for Philadelphia. In 2023, Brown showcased his ability to dominate in contested catch situations and generate yards after the catch. His chemistry with quarterback Jalen Hurts, and his role in the Eagles' offense make him a reliable fantasy option. With 150 targets projected for 2024, Brown's consistent production in yards and touchdowns makes him a strong fantasy asset.
7). Davante Adams, LV WR
Projected 2024 Fantasy Points: 230
Targets: 160
Receiving Yards: 1300
Receiving TDs: 8
Davante Adams is a reliable and productive receiver for Las Vegas. Despite changes at the quarterback position, Adams continues to be the primary target, excelling in route running and contested catches. His high target share and ability to generate significant yardage and touchdowns ensure his place as a top-tier fantasy receiver. With 160 targets projected for 2024, Adams' production remains elite.
Tier 2 Receiver: 200-229 .5 PPR Points
8). Mike Evans, TB WR
Projected 2024 Fantasy Points: 224
Targets: 140
Receiving Yards: 1300
Receiving TDs: 9
Mike Evans has been one of the most consistent fantasy wide receivers over the past decade. In 2023, he continued his streak of over 1,000 receiving yards, marking his 10th consecutive season achieving this milestone. Evans led the league with 13 receiving touchdowns, showcasing his dominant red-zone presence. Despite a lower overall volume of targets due to fewer pass attempts by the Buccaneers, his target share increased to 24.5%, highlighting his importance in the offense. His deep-ball prowess was evident, leading the league in deep-ball targets with 36 and maintaining a high average depth of target (aDOT) of 14.1 yards. With his strong track record and a stable quarterback situation with Baker Mayfield, Evans remains a reliable and valuable fantasy option for 2024.
9). Puka Nacua, LA WR
Projected 2024 Fantasy Points: 224
Targets: 140
Receiving Yards: 1325
Receiving TDs: 7
Puka Nacua emerged as a standout receiver for the Rams in his rookie season, showing exceptional route-running skills and reliability. His 2023 season saw him garner significant targets, contributing consistently to the offense. Nacua's ability to create separation and his involvement in both short and deep routes make him a versatile and dependable option in fantasy football. With Matthew Stafford returning as the quarterback, Nacua is expected to maintain a high target share and continue producing at a high level. His projected stats for 2024 reflect his growing role and potential as a top-tier receiver.
10). Drake London, ATL WR
Projected 2024 Fantasy Points: 209
Targets: 140
Receiving Yards: 1200
Receiving TDs: 7
Drake London faced challenges in 2023, primarily due to inconsistent quarterback play and a run-heavy offensive scheme. Despite these issues, he managed a target share of 23.3%, demonstrating his importance in the Falcons' offense. With the addition of Kirk Cousins and a new offensive coordinator, London's outlook for 2024 is positive. His ability to make contested catches and his projected increase in target volume makes him a strong candidate for a breakout season.
11). Jaylen Waddle, MIA WR
Projected 2024 Fantasy Points: 206
Targets: 140
Receiving Yards: 1200
Receiving TDs: 7
Jaylen Waddle faced some challenges in 2023, including a dip in yards per reception and injuries that caused him to miss games and snaps. Despite these issues, he maintained a high target rate of 27.5% on routes run and ranked eighth in the league with 2.68 yards per route run. Waddle's ability to create significant yards after the catch and his strong connection with Tua Tagovailoa make him a valuable asset for 2024. The expectation is that with better health and more consistent deep-ball targets, Waddle can bounce back to elite form.
12). Chris Olave, NO WR
Projected 2024 Fantasy Points: 203
Targets: 140
Receiving Yards: 1200
Receiving TDs: 6
Chris Olave showed impressive growth in his second season, commanding a 25% target share and a 40% air yards share in the Saints' offense. Despite the challenges with Derek Carr's consistency, Olave managed to rack up over 1,100 receiving yards and five touchdowns. His catchable target rate improved significantly towards the end of the season, and with another year to build chemistry with Carr, Olave is expected to see continued improvement. His route-running ability and high usage metrics suggest a strong fantasy season ahead.
Tier 3 Receiver: 180-199 .5 PPR Points
13). Garrett Wilson, NYJ WR
Projected 2024 Fantasy Points: 199
Targets: 150
Receiving Yards: 1150
Receiving TDs: 6
Garrett Wilson solidified his role as a primary target in the Jets' offense in 2023. He maintained a high target volume and showcased his ability to generate yards after the catch. With the return of Arron Rodgers in 2024, Wilson's production is expected to increase dramatically, and we can see him ascend into tier-one.
14). Marvin Harrison Jr., ARZ WR
Projected 2024 Fantasy Points: 198
Targets: 140
Receiving Yards: 1200
Receiving TDs: 6
Marvin Harrison Jr. is an exciting addition to the Cardinals' offense, bringing significant potential for yardage and touchdowns. His elite route-running skills and ability to make contested catches have drawn comparisons to some of the league's top receivers. With Kyler Murray at quarterback and an offensive scheme that will leverage Harrison's strengths, he is poised for a productive rookie season.
15). Brandon Aiyuk, SF WR
Projected 2024 Fantasy Points: 197
Targets: 110
Receiving Yards: 1150
Receiving TDs: 7
Brandon Aiyuk's playmaking ability and efficiency make him a valuable receiver for the 49ers. He demonstrated his capability to secure significant yardage and touchdowns with fewer targets, highlighting his big-play potential. With a stable role in San Francisco's offense and strong chemistry with quarterback Brock Purdy, Aiyuk is expected to continue providing solid fantasy value in 2024.
16). Deebo Samuel, SF WR
Projected 2024 Fantasy Points: 195
Targets: 100
Receiving Yards: 875
Receiving TDs: 6
Rushing Yards: 180
Rushing TDs: 3
Deebo Samuel's dual-threat capability as a receiver and rusher makes him a unique fantasy asset. He contributed significantly in both receiving and rushing plays, ensuring a steady stream of fantasy points. With Kyle Shanahan's creative play-calling, Samuel is poised to maintain his high production levels in 2024.
17). Travis Kelce, KC TE
Projected 2024 Fantasy Points: 194
Targets: 115
Receiving Yards: 1025
Receiving TDs: 8
Travis Kelce remains the premier tight end in fantasy football. His consistent ability to generate significant yardage and touchdowns makes him an essential pick for fantasy teams. With Patrick Mahomes at quarterback, Kelce's role in Kansas City's high-powered offense ensures continued elite production.
18). Nico Collins, HST WR
Projected 2024 Fantasy Points: 193
Targets: 120
Receiving Yards: 1150
Receiving TDs: 6
Nico Collins emerged as a key player in Houston's offense. His potential for significant yardage and touchdowns, combined with an increasing target share, makes him a valuable fantasy asset. As he continues to develop and with potential improvements in the Texans' quarterback play, Collins is expected to enhance his production in 2024.
19). D.K. Metcalf, SEA WR
Projected 2024 Fantasy Points: 193
Targets: 125
Receiving Yards: 1100
Receiving TDs: 7
D.K. Metcalf's physicality and red-zone presence make him a reliable option for Seattle. His ability to secure touchdowns and significant yardage with a relatively high target volume ensures continued fantasy relevance. With Geno Smith at quarterback and a stable role in the Seahawks' offense, Metcalf is poised to maintain his strong performance in 2024.
20). Sam LaPorta, DET TE
Projected 2024 Fantasy Points: 192
Targets: 125
Receiving Yards: 975
Receiving TDs: 8
Sam LaPorta was a revelation as a rookie, finishing 2023 with 86 receptions for 889 yards and 10 touchdowns, making him the overall TE1. His ability to separate and excel in contested catches allowed him to thrive immediately. LaPorta's versatility and role as a primary target in the Lions' offense set the stage for continued success. With Jared Goff as the quarterback and the Lions' offense designed to utilize his skills, LaPorta is poised to be a top-tier tight end in fantasy football for 2024.
21). Rashee Rice, KC WR
Projected 2024 Fantasy Points: 189
Targets: 130
Receiving Yards: 1000
Receiving TDs: 6
Rashee Rice had a promising rookie season with the Chiefs, recording 79 receptions for 938 yards and seven touchdowns over 16 games. Despite a slow start, he became more involved in the offense as the season progressed, particularly excelling in the latter part of the year with increased targets and yardage. However, his 2024 outlook is clouded by potential legal issues and a likely suspension stemming from a street-racing incident. Additionally, the Chiefs have added more competition at the wide receiver position, which could impact his target share. Despite these challenges, Rice is expected to be a significant contributor to the Chiefs' high-powered offense when on the field.
22). Michael Pittman Jr., IND WR
Projected 2024 Fantasy Points: 182
Targets: 150
Receiving Yards: 1025
Receiving TDs: 4
Michael Pittman Jr. continued to be a reliable target for the Colts in 2023, with over 1,000 receiving yards. His high target share and ability to perform well despite inconsistent quarterback play make him a valuable fantasy asset. With the Colts likely improving their quarterback situation and offensive strategy in 2024, Pittman is poised for another productive season. His strong physical presence and ability to win contested catches will keep him as a primary option in the Colts' passing game.
23). Cooper Kupp, LA WR
Projected 2024 Fantasy Points: 181
Targets: 120
Receiving Yards: 975
Receiving TDs: 6
Cooper Kupp's 2023 season was hampered by injuries, limiting his overall production. When healthy, Kupp remains one of the most consistent and productive receivers in the league. His chemistry with quarterback Matthew Stafford and his role as the primary target in the Rams' offense ensure that he will continue to be a valuable fantasy asset. Assuming better health in 2024, Kupp is expected to bounce back with strong yardage and touchdown numbers.
Tier 4 Receiver: 160-179 .5 PPR Points
24). Trey McBride, ARZ TE
Projected 2024 Fantasy Points: 179
Targets: 130
Receiving Yards: 975
Receiving TDs: 5
Trey McBride showed promise in his rookie season, becoming a reliable target in the Cardinals' offense. His ability to secure receptions and generate yards after the catch makes him a valuable tight-end option. With an expected increase in targets and improved chemistry with quarterback Kyler Murray, McBride is poised for a productive 2024 season, making him a strong fantasy pick in the tight end position.
25). DeVonta Smith, PHI WR
Projected 2024 Fantasy Points: 179
Targets: 115
Receiving Yards: 1050
Receiving TDs: 6
DeVonta Smith continued to develop as a key receiver for the Eagles, showcasing his route-running precision and ability to make big plays. Despite sharing targets with A.J. Brown, Smith managed to produce solid yardage and touchdown numbers. His role in Philadelphia's dynamic offense and his connection with quarterback Jalen Hurts suggest that he will maintain his productivity and remain a valuable fantasy asset in 2024.
26). Amari Cooper, CLV WR
Projected 2024 Fantasy Points: 178
Targets: 120
Receiving Yards: 1100
Receiving TDs: 5
Amari Cooper remained a consistent performer for the Browns, leveraging his excellent route-running and reliable hands to produce significant yardage. His chemistry with quarterback Deshaun Watson and role as the primary receiver in Cleveland's offense ensure that he will continue to be a key target. Cooper's consistent production makes him a dependable fantasy option for the 2024 season.
27). George Pickens, PIT WR
Projected 2024 Fantasy Points: 178
Targets: 115
Receiving Yards: 1100
Receiving TDs: 6
George Pickens displayed his playmaking ability and potential in his rookie season with the Steelers. Known for his ability to make contested catches and generate yards after the catch, Pickens is expected to see an increased role in Pittsburgh's offense in 2024. His developing chemistry with quarterback Kenny Pickett and the potential for more targets make him an intriguing fantasy option with significant upside.
28). Chris Godwin, TB WR
Projected 2024 Fantasy Points: 177
Targets: 130
Receiving Yards: 975
Receiving TDs: 5
Chris Godwin remained a reliable target for the Buccaneers, demonstrating his ability to generate yards after the catch and secure touchdowns. Despite Tampa Bay's quarterback uncertainty, Godwin's role as a primary receiver and his consistent production make him a valuable fantasy asset. With a stable target volume and his ability to perform well in various offensive schemes, Godwin is poised for another productive season in 2024.
29). Terry McLaurin, WAS WR
Projected 2024 Fantasy Points: 175
Targets: 125
Receiving Yards: 1050
Receiving TDs: 5
Terry McLaurin continued to be a standout receiver for Washington, overcoming inconsistent quarterback play to produce solid yardage and touchdowns. His ability to make big plays and serve as a reliable target makes him a valuable fantasy option. With potential improvements in Washington's offensive strategy and quarterback play, McLaurin is expected to maintain his high level of production in 2024.
30). Evan Engram, JAX TE
Projected 2024 Fantasy Points: 174
Targets: 130
Receiving Yards: 900
Receiving TDs: 5
Evan Engram had a strong season with the Jaguars, becoming a reliable target for quarterback Trevor Lawrence. His ability to create mismatches and generate yards after the catch makes him a valuable fantasy tight end. With continued development in Jacksonville's offense and an increased target share, Engram is expected to build on his success and remain a top fantasy option in 2024.
31). Tyler Lockett, SEA WR
Projected 2024 Fantasy Points: 172
Targets: 110
Receiving Yards: 950
Receiving TDs: 6
Tyler Lockett's consistency and playmaking ability make him a reliable fantasy receiver. Despite sharing targets with D.K. Metcalf, Lockett managed to produce significant yardage and touchdowns. His role in Seattle's offense and chemistry with quarterback Geno Smith ensure that he will continue to be a valuable fantasy option in 2024.
32). Stefon Diggs, HST WR
Projected 2024 Fantasy Points: 172
Targets: 110
Receiving Yards: 950
Receiving TDs: 6
Stefon Diggs continued to be a key target in Houston's offense, leveraging his route-running and reliable hands to produce solid yardage and touchdowns. His role as a primary receiver and connection with C.J. Stroud makes him a dependable fantasy asset. With a stable target volume and his ability to perform consistently, Diggs is expected to maintain his productivity in 2024